Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a Shanghai high near 30–31°C on June 19, 2026, amid the East Asian monsoon’s mei-yu (plum rain) regime, which sustains cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms that cap daytime heating. Early June warmth across the Yangtze River Delta has lifted baselines above the 27–30°C climatological average, yet persistent moisture and variable steering patterns create tight uncertainty between these two outcomes. Recent model runs show minor spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of convective cells, directly supporting the closely matched market-implied odds at 29% and 25.5% while keeping 28°C and 32°C viable depending on exact rainfall timing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 19?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 19?
30°C 29%
31°C 26%
28°C 14%
29°C 14%
NEU
$16,457 Vol.
NEU
$16,457 Vol.
19. Juni 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
14%
29°C
14%
30°C
29%
31°C
26%
32°C
13%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 29%
31°C 26%
28°C 14%
29°C 14%
NEU
$16,457 Vol.
NEU
$16,457 Vol.
19. Juni 2026
24°C or below
$2,554 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,438 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,712 Vol.
1%
27°C
$1,987 Vol.
4%
28°C
$2,288 Vol.
14%
29°C
$1,473 Vol.
14%
30°C
$909 Vol.
29%
31°C
$724 Vol.
26%
32°C
$720 Vol.
13%
33°C
$341 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$311 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a Shanghai high near 30–31°C on June 19, 2026, amid the East Asian monsoon’s mei-yu (plum rain) regime, which sustains cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms that cap daytime heating. Early June warmth across the Yangtze River Delta has lifted baselines above the 27–30°C climatological average, yet persistent moisture and variable steering patterns create tight uncertainty between these two outcomes. Recent model runs show minor spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of convective cells, directly supporting the closely matched market-implied odds at 29% and 25.5% while keeping 28°C and 32°C viable depending on exact rainfall timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 17, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
Volumen
$16,457Enddatum
19. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 17, 2026, 1:01 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a Shanghai high near 30–31°C on June 19, 2026, amid the East Asian monsoon’s mei-yu (plum rain) regime, which sustains cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms that cap daytime heating. Early June warmth across the Yangtze River Delta has lifted baselines above the 27–30°C climatological average, yet persistent moisture and variable steering patterns create tight uncertainty between these two outcomes. Recent model runs show minor spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of convective cells, directly supporting the closely matched market-implied odds at 29% and 25.5% while keeping 28°C and 32°C viable depending on exact rainfall timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$16,457Enddatum
19. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 17, 2026, 1:01 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a Shanghai high near 30–31°C on June 19, 2026, amid the East Asian monsoon’s mei-yu (plum rain) regime, which sustains cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms that cap daytime heating. Early June warmth across the Yangtze River Delta has lifted baselines above the 27–30°C climatological average, yet persistent moisture and variable steering patterns create tight uncertainty between these two outcomes. Recent model runs show minor spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of convective cells, directly supporting the closely matched market-implied odds at 29% and 25.5% while keeping 28°C and 32°C viable depending on exact rainfall timing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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