Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over Tokyo on August 16, 2026, limiting solar insolation and convective heating that typically drive August maxima above 30°C. This atmospheric setup, reinforced by regional pressure patterns and high humidity, aligns with real-time observational data capping the daily high near 26°C. Market-implied odds exceeding 99% for this outcome reflect trader consensus on verified measurements from official stations, where even modest deviations would require rapid clearing or unmodeled warm advection unlikely in the final hours. Resolution hinges on the precise maximum recorded by JMA instruments before midnight JST; sustained rain or thicker cloud decks would further anchor readings at this level, while unexpected breaks in coverage represent the primary variable that could shift the outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tokio am 16. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Tokio am 16. August?
26°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$80,189 Vol.
$80,189 Vol.
16. Aug. 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$80,189 Vol.
$80,189 Vol.
16. Aug. 2026
24°C or below
$1,524 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$4,459 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$20,283 Vol.
100%
27°C
$13,102 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$10,492 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$6,372 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$7,990 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,773 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$5,147 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$4,527 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$2,520 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over Tokyo on August 16, 2026, limiting solar insolation and convective heating that typically drive August maxima above 30°C. This atmospheric setup, reinforced by regional pressure patterns and high humidity, aligns with real-time observational data capping the daily high near 26°C. Market-implied odds exceeding 99% for this outcome reflect trader consensus on verified measurements from official stations, where even modest deviations would require rapid clearing or unmodeled warm advection unlikely in the final hours. Resolution hinges on the precise maximum recorded by JMA instruments before midnight JST; sustained rain or thicker cloud decks would further anchor readings at this level, while unexpected breaks in coverage represent the primary variable that could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$80,189Enddatum
16. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over Tokyo on August 16, 2026, limiting solar insolation and convective heating that typically drive August maxima above 30°C. This atmospheric setup, reinforced by regional pressure patterns and high humidity, aligns with real-time observational data capping the daily high near 26°C. Market-implied odds exceeding 99% for this outcome reflect trader consensus on verified measurements from official stations, where even modest deviations would require rapid clearing or unmodeled warm advection unlikely in the final hours. Resolution hinges on the precise maximum recorded by JMA instruments before midnight JST; sustained rain or thicker cloud decks would further anchor readings at this level, while unexpected breaks in coverage represent the primary variable that could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$80,189Enddatum
16. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over Tokyo on August 16, 2026, limiting solar insolation and convective heating that typically drive August maxima above 30°C. This atmospheric setup, reinforced by regional pressure patterns and high humidity, aligns with real-time observational data capping the daily high near 26°C. Market-implied odds exceeding 99% for this outcome reflect trader consensus on verified measurements from official stations, where even modest deviations would require rapid clearing or unmodeled warm advection unlikely in the final hours. Resolution hinges on the precise maximum recorded by JMA instruments before midnight JST; sustained rain or thicker cloud decks would further anchor readings at this level, while unexpected breaks in coverage represent the primary variable that could shift the outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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