Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 23°C for Tokyo on August 16, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity above 70%, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling typical of urban summer conditions. Model consensus clusters tightly around 22–24°C, reflecting modest variability from possible scattered showers or variable cloud cover that could enhance or suppress overnight heat retention. Tokyo’s urban heat island effect and seasonal baseline lows near 24°C further anchor expectations in this narrow band, with traders weighting short-term observational updates from the agency ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 16. August?
23°C 42%
22°C 29%
24°C 23%
21°C 5%
18°C oder darunter
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
29%
23°C
42%
24°C
23%
25°C
3%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C oder höher
<1%
23°C 42%
22°C 29%
24°C 23%
21°C 5%
18°C oder darunter
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
29%
23°C
42%
24°C
23%
25°C
3%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C oder höher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 23°C for Tokyo on August 16, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity above 70%, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling typical of urban summer conditions. Model consensus clusters tightly around 22–24°C, reflecting modest variability from possible scattered showers or variable cloud cover that could enhance or suppress overnight heat retention. Tokyo’s urban heat island effect and seasonal baseline lows near 24°C further anchor expectations in this narrow band, with traders weighting short-term observational updates from the agency ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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