Recent forecasts from MetService and other models show Wellington under northerly winds that could push the daily maximum to 17°C on May 21, though persistent cloud cover may cap readings near 16°C instead. This narrow spread explains the tight market split, with traders weighing the strength of the warm advection against limited solar heating. Historical May averages sit around 14–15°C, so any confirmation of above-normal conditions from updated model runs or official observations would favor the higher outcome, while stronger southerly shifts or increased rainfall would reinforce the lower one.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Wellington on May 21?
17°C 58%
16°C 42%
19°C 1.1%
18°C 1.0%
$46,056 Vol.
$46,056 Vol.
16°C
42%
17°C
47%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
17°C 58%
16°C 42%
19°C 1.1%
18°C 1.0%
$46,056 Vol.
$46,056 Vol.
16°C
42%
17°C
47%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from MetService and other models show Wellington under northerly winds that could push the daily maximum to 17°C on May 21, though persistent cloud cover may cap readings near 16°C instead. This narrow spread explains the tight market split, with traders weighing the strength of the warm advection against limited solar heating. Historical May averages sit around 14–15°C, so any confirmation of above-normal conditions from updated model runs or official observations would favor the higher outcome, while stronger southerly shifts or increased rainfall would reinforce the lower one.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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