Recent ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models show Tokyo’s minimum temperature on May 24 centered near 14–15 °C, with modest spread arising from uncertainty in nocturnal cloud cover and weak southerly flow. Clear skies under a building subtropical high would allow greater radiative cooling and favor the lower outcomes now leading the market, while increased low-level moisture or a passing short-wave trough could limit the overnight drop and support the 17–18 °C cluster. Historical May climatology places average lows near 15 °C, so current model consensus aligns closely with that baseline while highlighting the narrow window for meaningful forecast shifts before the 24th.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertLowest temperature in Tokyo on May 24?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 24?
15°C 19%
16°C 18%
17°C 16%
18°C 15%
NEU
NEU
24. Mai 2026
12°C or below
4%
13°C
8%
14°C
15%
15°C
24%
16°C
19%
17°C
16%
18°C
15%
19°C
3%
20°C
12%
21°C
4%
22°C or higher
1%
15°C 19%
16°C 18%
17°C 16%
18°C 15%
NEU
NEU
24. Mai 2026
12°C or below
$57 Vol.
4%
13°C
$6 Vol.
8%
14°C
$11 Vol.
15%
15°C
$11 Vol.
24%
16°C
$15 Vol.
19%
17°C
$10 Vol.
16%
18°C
$10 Vol.
15%
19°C
$72 Vol.
3%
20°C
$10 Vol.
12%
21°C
$90 Vol.
4%
22°C or higher
$658 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models show Tokyo’s minimum temperature on May 24 centered near 14–15 °C, with modest spread arising from uncertainty in nocturnal cloud cover and weak southerly flow. Clear skies under a building subtropical high would allow greater radiative cooling and favor the lower outcomes now leading the market, while increased low-level moisture or a passing short-wave trough could limit the overnight drop and support the 17–18 °C cluster. Historical May climatology places average lows near 15 °C, so current model consensus aligns closely with that baseline while highlighting the narrow window for meaningful forecast shifts before the 24th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 20, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volumen
$950Enddatum
24. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 20, 2026, 12:32 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models show Tokyo’s minimum temperature on May 24 centered near 14–15 °C, with modest spread arising from uncertainty in nocturnal cloud cover and weak southerly flow. Clear skies under a building subtropical high would allow greater radiative cooling and favor the lower outcomes now leading the market, while increased low-level moisture or a passing short-wave trough could limit the overnight drop and support the 17–18 °C cluster. Historical May climatology places average lows near 15 °C, so current model consensus aligns closely with that baseline while highlighting the narrow window for meaningful forecast shifts before the 24th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$950Enddatum
24. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 20, 2026, 12:32 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models show Tokyo’s minimum temperature on May 24 centered near 14–15 °C, with modest spread arising from uncertainty in nocturnal cloud cover and weak southerly flow. Clear skies under a building subtropical high would allow greater radiative cooling and favor the lower outcomes now leading the market, while increased low-level moisture or a passing short-wave trough could limit the overnight drop and support the 17–18 °C cluster. Historical May climatology places average lows near 15 °C, so current model consensus aligns closely with that baseline while highlighting the narrow window for meaningful forecast shifts before the 24th.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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