Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood holds a commanding lead in Illinois's 14th congressional district due to the area's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+3 Cook PVI and voting patterns from recent cycles. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, following her unopposed primary win and the Republican nominee's March primary victory. The district's suburban and exurban makeup north and west of Chicago has produced Democratic margins around 10 points in recent House races. Trader consensus at 95% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts. A national wave election, significant candidate-specific developments such as health issues, or late scandals could narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain low-probability given current conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertIL-14 Wahlsieger
IL-14 Wahlsieger
$14,054 Vol.
$14,054 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
95%
Republikanische Partei
5%
$14,054 Vol.
$14,054 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$4,451 Vol.
95%
Republikanische Partei
$9,602 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood holds a commanding lead in Illinois's 14th congressional district due to the area's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+3 Cook PVI and voting patterns from recent cycles. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, following her unopposed primary win and the Republican nominee's March primary victory. The district's suburban and exurban makeup north and west of Chicago has produced Democratic margins around 10 points in recent House races. Trader consensus at 95% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts. A national wave election, significant candidate-specific developments such as health issues, or late scandals could narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain low-probability given current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$14,054Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood holds a commanding lead in Illinois's 14th congressional district due to the area's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+3 Cook PVI and voting patterns from recent cycles. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, following her unopposed primary win and the Republican nominee's March primary victory. The district's suburban and exurban makeup north and west of Chicago has produced Democratic margins around 10 points in recent House races. Trader consensus at 95% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts. A national wave election, significant candidate-specific developments such as health issues, or late scandals could narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain low-probability given current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$14,054Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood holds a commanding lead in Illinois's 14th congressional district due to the area's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+3 Cook PVI and voting patterns from recent cycles. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, following her unopposed primary win and the Republican nominee's March primary victory. The district's suburban and exurban makeup north and west of Chicago has produced Democratic margins around 10 points in recent House races. Trader consensus at 95% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts. A national wave election, significant candidate-specific developments such as health issues, or late scandals could narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain low-probability given current conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen