Skip to main content
icon for CA-17 Wahlsieger
Politik·4. Nov. Wahlen

CA-17 Wahlsieger

icon for CA-17 Wahlsieger
Politik·4. Nov. Wahlen

CA-17 Wahlsieger

Polymarket

$12,768 Vol.

Polymarket

$12,768 Vol.

Demokratische Partei

$10,272 Vol.

95%

Republikanische Partei

$2,495 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Ro Khanna's commanding primary performance, securing over 62% of the vote against multiple challengers, has reinforced trader consensus around Democratic control of CA-17. The district's D+21 Partisan Voter Index and Solid Democratic ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report reflect consistent voter patterns favoring the party in recent cycles. With Republican Ritesh Tandon advancing as the general election opponent for November 3, 2026, limited crossover appeal and fundraising gaps further anchor the 95% implied probability. A narrow set of developments, such as an unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent or an extreme national political realignment before Election Day, could narrow the margin, though historical base rates in similar districts suggest these remain low-probability shifts.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$12,768
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jan 6, 2026, 10:16 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Ro Khanna's commanding primary performance, securing over 62% of the vote against multiple challengers, has reinforced trader consensus around Democratic control of CA-17. The district's D+21 Partisan Voter Index and Solid Democratic ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report reflect consistent voter patterns favoring the party in recent cycles. With Republican Ritesh Tandon advancing as the general election opponent for November 3, 2026, limited crossover appeal and fundraising gaps further anchor the 95% implied probability. A narrow set of developments, such as an unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent or an extreme national political realignment before Election Day, could narrow the margin, though historical base rates in similar districts suggest these remain low-probability shifts.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$12,768
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jan 6, 2026, 10:16 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Verwandte

icon for Wird die Demokratische Partei den Sitz im Repräsentantenhaus für CA-16 gewinnen?

Wird die Demokratische Partei den Sitz im Repräsentantenhaus für CA-16 gewinnen?

95%
Ja
icon for Wird die Demokratische Partei den Sitz des Repräsentantenhauses im Bezirk CA-18 gewinnen?

Wird die Demokratische Partei den Sitz des Repräsentantenhauses im Bezirk CA-18 gewinnen?

96%
Ja
icon for Wird die Demokratische Partei den Sitz des Repräsentantenhauses im Wahlkreis PA-17 gewinnen?

Wird die Demokratische Partei den Sitz des Repräsentantenhauses im Wahlkreis PA-17 gewinnen?

89%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„CA-17 Wahlsieger" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Demokratische Partei" mit 95%, gefolgt von „Republikanische Partei" mit 3%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 95¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 95% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „CA-17 Wahlsieger" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $12.8K generiert, seit der Markt am Jan 6, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „CA-17 Wahlsieger" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 2 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „CA-17 Wahlsieger" ist „Demokratische Partei" mit 95%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 95% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Republikanische Partei" mit 3%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „CA-17 Wahlsieger" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.