Recent polling averages show Republican Ashley Hinson and Democrat Josh Turek separated by just 1-2 points in Iowa’s open Senate race, with results fluctuating within margins of error across multiple surveys through mid-September. The seat’s Republican tilt from recent presidential results is offset by the lack of an incumbent, Turek’s cross-aisle appeal in the state House, and voter focus on costs, farm economics, and healthcare policy. Negative advertising, including attacks on voting records and federal spending positions, has kept the contest tight. An October 7 debate on Iowa PBS and final get-out-the-vote efforts represent the main remaining catalysts that could widen or narrow the eventual margin before November 3. Trader pricing on narrow victory bands aligns with this persistent closeness.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHinson 0-3% 26%
Hinson 3-6 % 24%
Turek 0-3% 15%
Hinson 6-9% 11%
NEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
Hinson 12%+
3%
Hinson 9-12%
3%
Hinson 6-9%
11%
Hinson 3-6 %
24%
Hinson 0-3%
26%
Turek 0-3%
15%
Turek 3-6%
9%
Turek 6-9%
5%
Turek 9-12%
3%
Turek 12%+
<1%
Hinson 0-3% 26%
Hinson 3-6 % 24%
Turek 0-3% 15%
Hinson 6-9% 11%
NEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
Hinson 12%+
$767 Vol.
3%
Hinson 9-12%
$868 Vol.
3%
Hinson 6-9%
$994 Vol.
11%
Hinson 3-6 %
$1,666 Vol.
24%
Hinson 0-3%
$1,691 Vol.
26%
Turek 0-3%
$371 Vol.
15%
Turek 3-6%
$401 Vol.
9%
Turek 6-9%
$271 Vol.
5%
Turek 9-12%
$248 Vol.
3%
Turek 12%+
$375 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 Iowa Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Iowa Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling averages show Republican Ashley Hinson and Democrat Josh Turek separated by just 1-2 points in Iowa’s open Senate race, with results fluctuating within margins of error across multiple surveys through mid-September. The seat’s Republican tilt from recent presidential results is offset by the lack of an incumbent, Turek’s cross-aisle appeal in the state House, and voter focus on costs, farm economics, and healthcare policy. Negative advertising, including attacks on voting records and federal spending positions, has kept the contest tight. An October 7 debate on Iowa PBS and final get-out-the-vote efforts represent the main remaining catalysts that could widen or narrow the eventual margin before November 3. Trader pricing on narrow victory bands aligns with this persistent closeness.
The 2026 Iowa Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Iowa Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Iowa Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 4, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
Volumen
$7,651Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 2:10 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Iowa Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Iowa Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling averages show Republican Ashley Hinson and Democrat Josh Turek separated by just 1-2 points in Iowa’s open Senate race, with results fluctuating within margins of error across multiple surveys through mid-September. The seat’s Republican tilt from recent presidential results is offset by the lack of an incumbent, Turek’s cross-aisle appeal in the state House, and voter focus on costs, farm economics, and healthcare policy. Negative advertising, including attacks on voting records and federal spending positions, has kept the contest tight. An October 7 debate on Iowa PBS and final get-out-the-vote efforts represent the main remaining catalysts that could widen or narrow the eventual margin before November 3. Trader pricing on narrow victory bands aligns with this persistent closeness.
The 2026 Iowa Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Iowa Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Iowa Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$7,651Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 2:10 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages show Republican Ashley Hinson and Democrat Josh Turek separated by just 1-2 points in Iowa’s open Senate race, with results fluctuating within margins of error across multiple surveys through mid-September. The seat’s Republican tilt from recent presidential results is offset by the lack of an incumbent, Turek’s cross-aisle appeal in the state House, and voter focus on costs, farm economics, and healthcare policy. Negative advertising, including attacks on voting records and federal spending positions, has kept the contest tight. An October 7 debate on Iowa PBS and final get-out-the-vote efforts represent the main remaining catalysts that could widen or narrow the eventual margin before November 3. Trader pricing on narrow victory bands aligns with this persistent closeness.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
Wird der Kandidat der Demokratischen Partei die Gouverneurswahl 2026 in Iowa mit 6%-9% Vorsprung gewinnen?
24%
Ja
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 3%-6%?
26%
Wird der Kandidat der Republikanischen Partei die Senatswahl 2026 in Minnesota mit 0%-5% Vorsprung gewinnen?
38%
Ja
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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