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icon for Israel-Wahl: Gemeinsame Liste der Sitze?
Welt·Israel

Israel-Wahl: Gemeinsame Liste der Sitze?

icon for Israel-Wahl: Gemeinsame Liste der Sitze?
Welt·Israel

Israel-Wahl: Gemeinsame Liste der Sitze?

6-7 55%

8-9 25%

10-11 24%

<6 16%

Polymarket
NEU

6-7 55%

8-9 25%

10-11 24%

<6 16%

Polymarket
NEU

<6

$19 Vol.

16%

6-7

$10 Vol.

55%

8-9

$0 Vol.

25%

10-11

$0 Vol.

24%

12+

$71 Vol.

12%

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).The re-formation of the Joint List by Hadash, Ta'al, and Balad in August 2026, without Ra'am running separately, has stabilized projections for the alliance ahead of the October 27 election. Recent September polls from multiple firms consistently place the list at 6-8 seats, reflecting consolidated Arab voter support but limited overall gains amid competition from other lists and the 3.25% threshold. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 6-7 seats as the most probable outcome, while higher ranges remain possible if turnout or bloc dynamics shift in the final weeks. The broader contest, centered on Netanyahu's coalition performance and opposition efforts to reach 61 seats, indirectly influences Arab party totals through turnout and strategic voting patterns.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.

If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volumen
$100
Enddatum
27. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).The re-formation of the Joint List by Hadash, Ta'al, and Balad in August 2026, without Ra'am running separately, has stabilized projections for the alliance ahead of the October 27 election. Recent September polls from multiple firms consistently place the list at 6-8 seats, reflecting consolidated Arab voter support but limited overall gains amid competition from other lists and the 3.25% threshold. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 6-7 seats as the most probable outcome, while higher ranges remain possible if turnout or bloc dynamics shift in the final weeks. The broader contest, centered on Netanyahu's coalition performance and opposition efforts to reach 61 seats, indirectly influences Arab party totals through turnout and strategic voting patterns.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.

If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volumen
$100
Enddatum
27. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

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Werden die Dems 8–9 Sitze bei den Knesset-Wahlen 2026 gewinnen?

41%
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Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

35%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Israel-Wahl: Gemeinsame Liste der Sitze?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 5 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „6-7" mit 55%, gefolgt von „8-9" mit 25%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 55¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 55% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Israel-Wahl: Gemeinsame Liste der Sitze?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Sep 4, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Israel-Wahl: Gemeinsame Liste der Sitze?" ist „6-7" mit 55%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 55% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „8-9" mit 25%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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