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icon for Israel-Wahl: UTJ Anzahl der Sitze?
Welt·Mittlerer Osten

Israel-Wahl: UTJ Anzahl der Sitze?

icon for Israel-Wahl: UTJ Anzahl der Sitze?
Welt·Mittlerer Osten

Israel-Wahl: UTJ Anzahl der Sitze?

7-8 39%

<7 38%

9-10 32%

11+ 27%

Polymarket
NEU

7-8 39%

<7 38%

9-10 32%

11+ 27%

Polymarket
NEU

<7

$0 Vol.

38%

7-8

$0 Vol.

39%

9-10

$0 Vol.

32%

11+

$0 Vol.

27%

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for the October 27 Israeli Knesset election places United Torah Judaism (UTJ) in a narrow band of roughly 7–9 seats, reflecting stable Ashkenazi Haredi voter support amid broader bloc competition. The party’s core base remains loyal on issues such as military draft exemptions and Torah study protections, yet repeated legislative setbacks on these priorities have kept coalition leverage uncertain. Multiple September surveys show UTJ at 7 or 8 seats, with minor fluctuations tied to turnout expectations and limited competition from smaller Haredi lists. Traders price 7–8 seats highest because modest gains in mobilization or favorable list dynamics could push results upward, while any erosion from internal divisions or competing right-wing appeals could cap it at 7–8.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.

If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
27. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for the October 27 Israeli Knesset election places United Torah Judaism (UTJ) in a narrow band of roughly 7–9 seats, reflecting stable Ashkenazi Haredi voter support amid broader bloc competition. The party’s core base remains loyal on issues such as military draft exemptions and Torah study protections, yet repeated legislative setbacks on these priorities have kept coalition leverage uncertain. Multiple September surveys show UTJ at 7 or 8 seats, with minor fluctuations tied to turnout expectations and limited competition from smaller Haredi lists. Traders price 7–8 seats highest because modest gains in mobilization or favorable list dynamics could push results upward, while any erosion from internal divisions or competing right-wing appeals could cap it at 7–8.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.

If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
27. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

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Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Israel-Wahl: UTJ Anzahl der Sitze?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 4 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „7-8" mit 39%, gefolgt von „<7" mit 38%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 39¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 39% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Israel-Wahl: UTJ Anzahl der Sitze?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Sep 4, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Israel-Wahl: UTJ Anzahl der Sitze?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 4 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Israel-Wahl: UTJ Anzahl der Sitze?" ist „7-8" mit 39%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 39% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „<7" mit 38%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Israel-Wahl: UTJ Anzahl der Sitze?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.