Recent official forecasts from meteorological services and ensemble models indicate Istanbul's overnight low on September 9 will likely settle between 19–21°C under mostly clear skies and moderate northeasterly flow. This positioning reflects typical early-September climatology for the region, with daytime heating of 25–28°C giving way to efficient radiative cooling after sunset amid low humidity and light winds. Model consensus shows limited spread, supporting the market's strong weighting toward 21°C and 19°C outcomes. Minor upward revisions in some guidance reflect slightly stronger winds or cloud cover that could limit the drop, while any unexpected calm or clearer conditions overnight would favor the lower end of the range. Updated observations from local stations will refine probabilities as the evening progresses.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Istanbul am 9. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Istanbul am 9. September?
18°C 3.7%
16°C oder weniger 2.6%
17°C 2.5%
22°C <1%
$1,767 Vol.
$1,767 Vol.
9. Sep. 2026
16°C oder weniger
3%
17°C
3%
18°C
4%
19°C
35%
20°C
-
21°C
70%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C oder höher
<1%
18°C 3.7%
16°C oder weniger 2.6%
17°C 2.5%
22°C <1%
$1,767 Vol.
$1,767 Vol.
9. Sep. 2026
16°C oder weniger
$92 Vol.
3%
17°C
$76 Vol.
3%
18°C
$103 Vol.
4%
19°C
$40 Vol.
35%
20°C
$30 Vol.
-
21°C
$217 Vol.
70%
22°C
$449 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$202 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$214 Vol.
<1%
26°C oder höher
$225 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from meteorological services and ensemble models indicate Istanbul's overnight low on September 9 will likely settle between 19–21°C under mostly clear skies and moderate northeasterly flow. This positioning reflects typical early-September climatology for the region, with daytime heating of 25–28°C giving way to efficient radiative cooling after sunset amid low humidity and light winds. Model consensus shows limited spread, supporting the market's strong weighting toward 21°C and 19°C outcomes. Minor upward revisions in some guidance reflect slightly stronger winds or cloud cover that could limit the drop, while any unexpected calm or clearer conditions overnight would favor the lower end of the range. Updated observations from local stations will refine probabilities as the evening progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$1,767Enddatum
9. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from meteorological services and ensemble models indicate Istanbul's overnight low on September 9 will likely settle between 19–21°C under mostly clear skies and moderate northeasterly flow. This positioning reflects typical early-September climatology for the region, with daytime heating of 25–28°C giving way to efficient radiative cooling after sunset amid low humidity and light winds. Model consensus shows limited spread, supporting the market's strong weighting toward 21°C and 19°C outcomes. Minor upward revisions in some guidance reflect slightly stronger winds or cloud cover that could limit the drop, while any unexpected calm or clearer conditions overnight would favor the lower end of the range. Updated observations from local stations will refine probabilities as the evening progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,767Enddatum
9. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from meteorological services and ensemble models indicate Istanbul's overnight low on September 9 will likely settle between 19–21°C under mostly clear skies and moderate northeasterly flow. This positioning reflects typical early-September climatology for the region, with daytime heating of 25–28°C giving way to efficient radiative cooling after sunset amid low humidity and light winds. Model consensus shows limited spread, supporting the market's strong weighting toward 21°C and 19°C outcomes. Minor upward revisions in some guidance reflect slightly stronger winds or cloud cover that could limit the drop, while any unexpected calm or clearer conditions overnight would favor the lower end of the range. Updated observations from local stations will refine probabilities as the evening progresses.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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