Official Météo-France observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm the lowest temperature on May 14, 2026, hit exactly 7°C around 01:00 local time, aligning with pre-event forecast consensus from ECMWF and French models predicting 7–8°C lows amid an exceptional polar air descent. Cloudy skies, light rain (6.4 mm total), and moderate winds (up to 58 km/h) trapped heat near the surface, preventing a sharper nocturnal drop below seasonal norms of 9–10°C. Trader sentiment reflects this verified data, with 100% implied probability on 7°C backed by real capital. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post-preliminary data revisions by Météo-France, though station measurements are highly reliable; no further updates expected.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 14. Mai?
7°C 100.0%
1°C oder darunter <1%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
$24,513 Vol.
$24,513 Vol.
1°C oder darunter
Nein
2°C
Nein
3°C
Nein
4°C
Nein
5°C
Nein
6°C
Nein
7°C
Ja
8°C
Nein
9°C
Nein
10°C
Nein
11°C oder höher
Nein
7°C 100.0%
1°C oder darunter <1%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
$24,513 Vol.
$24,513 Vol.
1°C oder darunter
Nein
2°C
Nein
3°C
Nein
4°C
Nein
5°C
Nein
6°C
Nein
7°C
Ja
8°C
Nein
9°C
Nein
10°C
Nein
11°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Official Météo-France observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm the lowest temperature on May 14, 2026, hit exactly 7°C around 01:00 local time, aligning with pre-event forecast consensus from ECMWF and French models predicting 7–8°C lows amid an exceptional polar air descent. Cloudy skies, light rain (6.4 mm total), and moderate winds (up to 58 km/h) trapped heat near the surface, preventing a sharper nocturnal drop below seasonal norms of 9–10°C. Trader sentiment reflects this verified data, with 100% implied probability on 7°C backed by real capital. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post-preliminary data revisions by Météo-France, though station measurements are highly reliable; no further updates expected.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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