Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration highlight a likely overnight minimum near 24–26°C for Qingdao on August 25, driven by clear to partly cloudy conditions, light southerly flow, and dew points supporting modest radiative cooling. This underpins the clustered market-implied odds around 25–26°C while the leading 32°C-or-higher outcome at 38.5% reflects residual model spread and trader caution over localized urban heat effects or slight forecast shifts. With resolution hinging on official station readings, traders monitor the next high-resolution model runs and any updated guidance expected before dawn.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Qingdao am 25. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Qingdao am 25. August?
32°C oder höher 70%
29°C 50%
30°C 40%
26°C 34%
NEU
NEU
25. Aug. 2026
22°C oder niedriger
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
27%
25°C
28%
26°C
34%
27°C
27%
28°C
26%
29°C
50%
30°C
40%
31°C
13%
32°C oder höher
70%
32°C oder höher 70%
29°C 50%
30°C 40%
26°C 34%
NEU
NEU
25. Aug. 2026
22°C oder niedriger
$112 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$75 Vol.
2%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$0 Vol.
28%
26°C
$0 Vol.
34%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$35 Vol.
26%
29°C
$135 Vol.
50%
30°C
$135 Vol.
40%
31°C
$145 Vol.
13%
32°C oder höher
$135 Vol.
70%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration highlight a likely overnight minimum near 24–26°C for Qingdao on August 25, driven by clear to partly cloudy conditions, light southerly flow, and dew points supporting modest radiative cooling. This underpins the clustered market-implied odds around 25–26°C while the leading 32°C-or-higher outcome at 38.5% reflects residual model spread and trader caution over localized urban heat effects or slight forecast shifts. With resolution hinging on official station readings, traders monitor the next high-resolution model runs and any updated guidance expected before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$772Enddatum
25. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration highlight a likely overnight minimum near 24–26°C for Qingdao on August 25, driven by clear to partly cloudy conditions, light southerly flow, and dew points supporting modest radiative cooling. This underpins the clustered market-implied odds around 25–26°C while the leading 32°C-or-higher outcome at 38.5% reflects residual model spread and trader caution over localized urban heat effects or slight forecast shifts. With resolution hinging on official station readings, traders monitor the next high-resolution model runs and any updated guidance expected before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$772Enddatum
25. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration highlight a likely overnight minimum near 24–26°C for Qingdao on August 25, driven by clear to partly cloudy conditions, light southerly flow, and dew points supporting modest radiative cooling. This underpins the clustered market-implied odds around 25–26°C while the leading 32°C-or-higher outcome at 38.5% reflects residual model spread and trader caution over localized urban heat effects or slight forecast shifts. With resolution hinging on official station readings, traders monitor the next high-resolution model runs and any updated guidance expected before dawn.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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