Recent northerly winds and scattered showers associated with a passing weather system have advected cooler maritime air into the Kanto region, suppressing overnight temperatures in Tokyo ahead of September 10. Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a minimum near 18–19 °C under mostly cloudy skies with frequent light rain, limiting both daytime heating and nighttime radiative cooling relative to climatological norms around 21 °C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, keeping the distribution tightly centered on 19–20 °C as the most probable observed low at the official Tokyo station. Updated model runs and any intensification of precipitation overnight represent the key variables that could shift the final minimum by 1 °C in either direction before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 10. September?
20°C 43%
19°C 37%
21°C 18%
18°C 9%
14°C oder darunter
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
2%
18°C
9%
19°C
37%
20°C
43%
21°C
11%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C oder höher
<1%
20°C 43%
19°C 37%
21°C 18%
18°C 9%
14°C oder darunter
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
2%
18°C
9%
19°C
37%
20°C
43%
21°C
11%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent northerly winds and scattered showers associated with a passing weather system have advected cooler maritime air into the Kanto region, suppressing overnight temperatures in Tokyo ahead of September 10. Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a minimum near 18–19 °C under mostly cloudy skies with frequent light rain, limiting both daytime heating and nighttime radiative cooling relative to climatological norms around 21 °C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, keeping the distribution tightly centered on 19–20 °C as the most probable observed low at the official Tokyo station. Updated model runs and any intensification of precipitation overnight represent the key variables that could shift the final minimum by 1 °C in either direction before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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