Democratic incumbent Johnny Olszewski Jr. holds a commanding position in Maryland’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic lean and the challenger’s limited path forward. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10, and forecasters rate it Solid or Safe Democratic. Olszewski, who previously served as Baltimore County Executive, secured the Democratic nomination by a wide margin in the June primary and won the open seat in 2024. Republican nominee Dave Wallace, a repeat candidate, prevailed in his primary but faces structural disadvantages in a district that encompasses portions of Baltimore and Carroll counties. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic Party aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political shift, or health-related withdrawal could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMD-02 Wahlsieger
MD-02 Wahlsieger
$16,560 Vol.
$16,560 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
95%
Republikanische Partei
5%
$16,560 Vol.
$16,560 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$12,396 Vol.
95%
Republikanische Partei
$4,165 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Johnny Olszewski Jr. holds a commanding position in Maryland’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic lean and the challenger’s limited path forward. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10, and forecasters rate it Solid or Safe Democratic. Olszewski, who previously served as Baltimore County Executive, secured the Democratic nomination by a wide margin in the June primary and won the open seat in 2024. Republican nominee Dave Wallace, a repeat candidate, prevailed in his primary but faces structural disadvantages in a district that encompasses portions of Baltimore and Carroll counties. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic Party aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political shift, or health-related withdrawal could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$16,560Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Johnny Olszewski Jr. holds a commanding position in Maryland’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic lean and the challenger’s limited path forward. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10, and forecasters rate it Solid or Safe Democratic. Olszewski, who previously served as Baltimore County Executive, secured the Democratic nomination by a wide margin in the June primary and won the open seat in 2024. Republican nominee Dave Wallace, a repeat candidate, prevailed in his primary but faces structural disadvantages in a district that encompasses portions of Baltimore and Carroll counties. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic Party aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political shift, or health-related withdrawal could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$16,560Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Johnny Olszewski Jr. holds a commanding position in Maryland’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic lean and the challenger’s limited path forward. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10, and forecasters rate it Solid or Safe Democratic. Olszewski, who previously served as Baltimore County Executive, secured the Democratic nomination by a wide margin in the June primary and won the open seat in 2024. Republican nominee Dave Wallace, a repeat candidate, prevailed in his primary but faces structural disadvantages in a district that encompasses portions of Baltimore and Carroll counties. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic Party aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political shift, or health-related withdrawal could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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