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icon for Mulka-By-Election-Sieger
Welt·Australien

Mulka-By-Election-Sieger

icon for Mulka-By-Election-Sieger
Welt·Australien

Mulka-By-Election-Sieger

Polymarket
NEU
Polymarket
NEU
icon for Yiwarr McGrath

Yiwarr McGrath

$1,207 Vol.

96%

icon for Andrew Blamey

Andrew Blamey

$825 Vol.

<1%

A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).Yiwarr McGrath, Territory Labor's preselected Yolŋu candidate and former NT Young Australian of the Year, holds a commanding position in the Mulka by-election market ahead of the September 12 vote. The seat in eastern Arnhem Land became vacant after independent Yiŋiya Mark Guyula resigned in mid-August, citing policy disagreements with the Country Liberal Party government. McGrath's local profile as a registered nurse and community advocate aligns with the electorate's strong preference for independent or aligned representation in recent cycles, where Guyula secured large margins against limited opposition. With only independent Andrew Blamey confirmed as a rival and no major Country Liberal contender emerging, trader consensus reflects the advantages of an organized party campaign in a short timeline. Late independent surges or shifts in early voting patterns remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap.

A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
Volumen
$2,032
Enddatum
12. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 3:03 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://ntec.nt.gov.au/

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).Yiwarr McGrath, Territory Labor's preselected Yolŋu candidate and former NT Young Australian of the Year, holds a commanding position in the Mulka by-election market ahead of the September 12 vote. The seat in eastern Arnhem Land became vacant after independent Yiŋiya Mark Guyula resigned in mid-August, citing policy disagreements with the Country Liberal Party government. McGrath's local profile as a registered nurse and community advocate aligns with the electorate's strong preference for independent or aligned representation in recent cycles, where Guyula secured large margins against limited opposition. With only independent Andrew Blamey confirmed as a rival and no major Country Liberal contender emerging, trader consensus reflects the advantages of an organized party campaign in a short timeline. Late independent surges or shifts in early voting patterns remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap.

A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
Volumen
$2,032
Enddatum
12. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 3:03 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://ntec.nt.gov.au/

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).

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Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Mulka-By-Election-Sieger" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Yiwarr McGrath" mit 96%, gefolgt von „Andrew Blamey" mit 0%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 96¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 96% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Mulka-By-Election-Sieger" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 31, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Mulka-By-Election-Sieger" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 2 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Mulka-By-Election-Sieger" ist „Yiwarr McGrath" mit 96%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 96% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Andrew Blamey" mit 0%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Mulka-By-Election-Sieger" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.