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icon for Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?
Politik·Israel-Wahl

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?

icon for Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?
Politik·Israel-Wahl

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?

17% Chance
Polymarket

$18,562 Vol.

17% Chance
Polymarket

$18,562 Vol.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Netanyahu continues to lead Likud and affirm his candidacy for the scheduled October 2026 Knesset elections, with coalition partners advancing legislation to dissolve parliament and enable votes as early as August. Recent polls show his bloc trailing and over half of Israelis favoring his retirement, yet no official statements or party actions indicate withdrawal by the July 31 deadline. Traders price the “No” outcome at 81.5 percent because his repeated public commitments and control of the governing coalition outweigh mounting domestic pressure and security-related criticism. Upcoming Knesset dissolution votes and primary dynamics within Likud remain the main near-term catalysts that could alter this consensus.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$18,562
Enddatum
31. Juli 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 29, 2026, 7:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Netanyahu continues to lead Likud and affirm his candidacy for the scheduled October 2026 Knesset elections, with coalition partners advancing legislation to dissolve parliament and enable votes as early as August. Recent polls show his bloc trailing and over half of Israelis favoring his retirement, yet no official statements or party actions indicate withdrawal by the July 31 deadline. Traders price the “No” outcome at 81.5 percent because his repeated public commitments and control of the governing coalition outweigh mounting domestic pressure and security-related criticism. Upcoming Knesset dissolution votes and primary dynamics within Likud remain the main near-term catalysts that could alter this consensus.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$18,562
Enddatum
31. Juli 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 29, 2026, 7:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket, auf dem Händler „Ja"- oder „Nein"-Anteile kaufen und verkaufen, je nachdem, ob sie glauben, dass dieses Ereignis eintreten wird. Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit laut Community liegt bei 17% für „Yes". Wird „Ja" beispielsweise bei 17¢ gehandelt, schätzt der Markt die Wahrscheinlichkeit des Eintretens auf 17%. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen und Informationen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $18.6K generiert, seit der Markt am Apr 30, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

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Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit für „Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?" liegt bei 17% für „Yes". Das bedeutet, die Polymarket-Community glaubt derzeit, dass eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 17% besteht, dass dieses Ereignis eintritt. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit auf Basis tatsächlicher Handelsgeschäfte aktualisiert und liefern ein ständig aktualisiertes Signal dessen, was der Markt erwartet.

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