Trader sentiment on the next Claude Opus release reflects Anthropic’s accelerated 2026 cadence of incremental Opus upgrades every 4–8 weeks, with the latest Claude Opus 4.8 launched May 28 emphasizing improved honesty, agentic workflows, and coding benchmarks amid competition from OpenAI and Google models. No major official announcement has surfaced in the past month, leaving the market’s closely clustered July probabilities driven by typical release windows, API deprecation timelines, and developer expectations for further reliability or capability gains. Uncertainty persists around whether the next step will be a 4.x revision or the anticipated Claude 5 Opus generational leap, with earnings, partner integrations, or competitive pressure from rival labs serving as potential near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert22. Juli 45%
21. Juli 44%
23. Juli 44%
29. Juli 42%
NEU
NEU
15. Juli 2026
15. Juli oder früher
41%
16. Juli
42%
17. Juli
42%
18. Juli
42%
19. Juli
42%
20. Juli
42%
21. Juli
44%
22. Juli
45%
23. Juli
44%
24. Juli
42%
25. Juli
42%
26. Juli
42%
27. Juli
42%
28. Juli
42%
29. Juli
42%
30. Juli
42%
31. Juli
42%
Keine Veröffentlichung bis 31. Juli
42%
22. Juli 45%
21. Juli 44%
23. Juli 44%
29. Juli 42%
NEU
NEU
15. Juli 2026
15. Juli oder früher
$5 Vol.
41%
16. Juli
$0 Vol.
42%
17. Juli
$0 Vol.
42%
18. Juli
$0 Vol.
42%
19. Juli
$0 Vol.
42%
20. Juli
$0 Vol.
42%
21. Juli
$0 Vol.
44%
22. Juli
$0 Vol.
45%
23. Juli
$0 Vol.
44%
24. Juli
$0 Vol.
42%
25. Juli
$0 Vol.
42%
26. Juli
$0 Vol.
42%
27. Juli
$0 Vol.
42%
28. Juli
$0 Vol.
42%
29. Juli
$0 Vol.
42%
30. Juli
$0 Vol.
42%
31. Juli
$2 Vol.
42%
Keine Veröffentlichung bis 31. Juli
$0 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment on the next Claude Opus release reflects Anthropic’s accelerated 2026 cadence of incremental Opus upgrades every 4–8 weeks, with the latest Claude Opus 4.8 launched May 28 emphasizing improved honesty, agentic workflows, and coding benchmarks amid competition from OpenAI and Google models. No major official announcement has surfaced in the past month, leaving the market’s closely clustered July probabilities driven by typical release windows, API deprecation timelines, and developer expectations for further reliability or capability gains. Uncertainty persists around whether the next step will be a 4.x revision or the anticipated Claude 5 Opus generational leap, with earnings, partner integrations, or competitive pressure from rival labs serving as potential near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 14, 2026, 9:18 PM ET
Volumen
$7Enddatum
31. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 14, 2026, 9:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment on the next Claude Opus release reflects Anthropic’s accelerated 2026 cadence of incremental Opus upgrades every 4–8 weeks, with the latest Claude Opus 4.8 launched May 28 emphasizing improved honesty, agentic workflows, and coding benchmarks amid competition from OpenAI and Google models. No major official announcement has surfaced in the past month, leaving the market’s closely clustered July probabilities driven by typical release windows, API deprecation timelines, and developer expectations for further reliability or capability gains. Uncertainty persists around whether the next step will be a 4.x revision or the anticipated Claude 5 Opus generational leap, with earnings, partner integrations, or competitive pressure from rival labs serving as potential near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$7Enddatum
31. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 14, 2026, 9:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on the next Claude Opus release reflects Anthropic’s accelerated 2026 cadence of incremental Opus upgrades every 4–8 weeks, with the latest Claude Opus 4.8 launched May 28 emphasizing improved honesty, agentic workflows, and coding benchmarks amid competition from OpenAI and Google models. No major official announcement has surfaced in the past month, leaving the market’s closely clustered July probabilities driven by typical release windows, API deprecation timelines, and developer expectations for further reliability or capability gains. Uncertainty persists around whether the next step will be a 4.x revision or the anticipated Claude 5 Opus generational leap, with earnings, partner integrations, or competitive pressure from rival labs serving as potential near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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