Trader consensus prices "No" at 92.5% for Prince Andrew being sentenced to prison, driven by the absence of formal charges despite his February 19, 2026, arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office. Newly released Epstein files revealed he shared sensitive trade envoy reports, prompting Norfolk police to detain and question him before releasing Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor—stripped of royal titles—under investigation after 11 hours. Subsequent searches of Royal Lodge concluded without indictments, and no trial or sentencing developments have emerged in the past three months. Procedural hurdles, evidentiary gaps, and lengthy UK prosecution timelines underpin the low odds of conviction, though fresh evidence could shift markets.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$209,719 Vol.
$209,719 Vol.
Ja
$209,719 Vol.
$209,719 Vol.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 92.5% for Prince Andrew being sentenced to prison, driven by the absence of formal charges despite his February 19, 2026, arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office. Newly released Epstein files revealed he shared sensitive trade envoy reports, prompting Norfolk police to detain and question him before releasing Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor—stripped of royal titles—under investigation after 11 hours. Subsequent searches of Royal Lodge concluded without indictments, and no trial or sentencing developments have emerged in the past three months. Procedural hurdles, evidentiary gaps, and lengthy UK prosecution timelines underpin the low odds of conviction, though fresh evidence could shift markets.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen