**Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 84.5% implied probability because Sam Altman has not signed the original July 2026 "Pacing the Frontier" employee statement and shows no sign of doing so before the September 30 deadline.** The statement, backed by over 1,300 staff from OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and Meta, requests U.S. government support for international tools to deliberately slow automated AI research if capabilities outpace oversight. While many OpenAI employees signed and the company endorsed the effort, Altman himself stayed off the list. In mid-September 2026, following Dario Amodei’s essay “We Must Pace the Frontier,” Altman publicly agreed that pacing is needed, committed OpenAI to independent embedded evaluators, and stressed that safety interventions justify a slower pace than pure competitive pressure would allow—without referencing or signing the specific employee petition. With only two weeks remaining and Altman focusing on his own statements and OpenAI’s internal steps rather than the July document, recent developments reinforce the market’s strong lean toward “No.”
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
15% Chance
NEU
NEU
30. Sep. 2026
Ja
15% Chance
NEU
NEU
30. Sep. 2026
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 84.5% implied probability because Sam Altman has not signed the original July 2026 "Pacing the Frontier" employee statement and shows no sign of doing so before the September 30 deadline.**
The statement, backed by over 1,300 staff from OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and Meta, requests U.S. government support for international tools to deliberately slow automated AI research if capabilities outpace oversight. While many OpenAI employees signed and the company endorsed the effort, Altman himself stayed off the list.
In mid-September 2026, following Dario Amodei’s essay “We Must Pace the Frontier,” Altman publicly agreed that pacing is needed, committed OpenAI to independent embedded evaluators, and stressed that safety interventions justify a slower pace than pure competitive pressure would allow—without referencing or signing the specific employee petition. With only two weeks remaining and Altman focusing on his own statements and OpenAI’s internal steps rather than the July document, recent developments reinforce the market’s strong lean toward “No.”
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
Volumen
$2,920Enddatum
1. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 6:46 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 84.5% implied probability because Sam Altman has not signed the original July 2026 "Pacing the Frontier" employee statement and shows no sign of doing so before the September 30 deadline.**
The statement, backed by over 1,300 staff from OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and Meta, requests U.S. government support for international tools to deliberately slow automated AI research if capabilities outpace oversight. While many OpenAI employees signed and the company endorsed the effort, Altman himself stayed off the list.
In mid-September 2026, following Dario Amodei’s essay “We Must Pace the Frontier,” Altman publicly agreed that pacing is needed, committed OpenAI to independent embedded evaluators, and stressed that safety interventions justify a slower pace than pure competitive pressure would allow—without referencing or signing the specific employee petition. With only two weeks remaining and Altman focusing on his own statements and OpenAI’s internal steps rather than the July document, recent developments reinforce the market’s strong lean toward “No.”
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$2,920Enddatum
1. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 6:46 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 84.5% implied probability because Sam Altman has not signed the original July 2026 "Pacing the Frontier" employee statement and shows no sign of doing so before the September 30 deadline.** The statement, backed by over 1,300 staff from OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and Meta, requests U.S. government support for international tools to deliberately slow automated AI research if capabilities outpace oversight. While many OpenAI employees signed and the company endorsed the effort, Altman himself stayed off the list. In mid-September 2026, following Dario Amodei’s essay “We Must Pace the Frontier,” Altman publicly agreed that pacing is needed, committed OpenAI to independent embedded evaluators, and stressed that safety interventions justify a slower pace than pure competitive pressure would allow—without referencing or signing the specific employee petition. With only two weeks remaining and Altman focusing on his own statements and OpenAI’s internal steps rather than the July document, recent developments reinforce the market’s strong lean toward “No.”
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen