South Carolina Republicans are advancing a mid-decade congressional map redraw that targets the state's sole Democratic-held seat in the 6th district, where long-serving incumbent Jim Clyburn faces a June 9 Democratic primary. Recent legislative progress, including committee advancement and a reported call from President Trump to state senators, has raised the prospect of shifting the district's partisan balance ahead of the November general election. Traders appear to weigh these redistricting developments as the dominant near-term catalyst, elevating the Republican nominee's implied odds despite the seat's historical Democratic lean and D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index. With the general election still months away, any final map approval or legal challenges could further adjust probabilities before voters decide.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertSC-06 Wahlsieger
SC-06 Wahlsieger
$15,928 Vol.
$15,928 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
68%
Demokratische Partei
27%
$15,928 Vol.
$15,928 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$8,915 Vol.
68%
Demokratische Partei
$7,013 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina Republicans are advancing a mid-decade congressional map redraw that targets the state's sole Democratic-held seat in the 6th district, where long-serving incumbent Jim Clyburn faces a June 9 Democratic primary. Recent legislative progress, including committee advancement and a reported call from President Trump to state senators, has raised the prospect of shifting the district's partisan balance ahead of the November general election. Traders appear to weigh these redistricting developments as the dominant near-term catalyst, elevating the Republican nominee's implied odds despite the seat's historical Democratic lean and D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index. With the general election still months away, any final map approval or legal challenges could further adjust probabilities before voters decide.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$15,928Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina Republicans are advancing a mid-decade congressional map redraw that targets the state's sole Democratic-held seat in the 6th district, where long-serving incumbent Jim Clyburn faces a June 9 Democratic primary. Recent legislative progress, including committee advancement and a reported call from President Trump to state senators, has raised the prospect of shifting the district's partisan balance ahead of the November general election. Traders appear to weigh these redistricting developments as the dominant near-term catalyst, elevating the Republican nominee's implied odds despite the seat's historical Democratic lean and D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index. With the general election still months away, any final map approval or legal challenges could further adjust probabilities before voters decide.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$15,928Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina Republicans are advancing a mid-decade congressional map redraw that targets the state's sole Democratic-held seat in the 6th district, where long-serving incumbent Jim Clyburn faces a June 9 Democratic primary. Recent legislative progress, including committee advancement and a reported call from President Trump to state senators, has raised the prospect of shifting the district's partisan balance ahead of the November general election. Traders appear to weigh these redistricting developments as the dominant near-term catalyst, elevating the Republican nominee's implied odds despite the seat's historical Democratic lean and D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index. With the general election still months away, any final map approval or legal challenges could further adjust probabilities before voters decide.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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