The Texas 38th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat based on its partisan lean, recent voting patterns, and consistent nonpartisan ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. Incumbent Wesley Hunt’s decision to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat, but the Republican primary process concluded with Jon Bonck securing the nomination after a May 2026 runoff victory. Democratic nominee Melissa McDonough advanced from her March primary with limited resources or visibility in the west Houston and northwest Harris County area. No polls or late developments have altered the race’s trajectory in recent weeks, and forecasters continue to classify it as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus reflects the district’s established electoral math and the absence of competitive indicators.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertTX-38 Wahlsieger
TX-38 Wahlsieger
$26,249 Vol.
$26,249 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
89%
Demokratische Partei
6%
$26,249 Vol.
$26,249 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$17,229 Vol.
89%
Demokratische Partei
$9,020 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 38th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat based on its partisan lean, recent voting patterns, and consistent nonpartisan ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. Incumbent Wesley Hunt’s decision to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat, but the Republican primary process concluded with Jon Bonck securing the nomination after a May 2026 runoff victory. Democratic nominee Melissa McDonough advanced from her March primary with limited resources or visibility in the west Houston and northwest Harris County area. No polls or late developments have altered the race’s trajectory in recent weeks, and forecasters continue to classify it as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus reflects the district’s established electoral math and the absence of competitive indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$26,249Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 38th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat based on its partisan lean, recent voting patterns, and consistent nonpartisan ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. Incumbent Wesley Hunt’s decision to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat, but the Republican primary process concluded with Jon Bonck securing the nomination after a May 2026 runoff victory. Democratic nominee Melissa McDonough advanced from her March primary with limited resources or visibility in the west Houston and northwest Harris County area. No polls or late developments have altered the race’s trajectory in recent weeks, and forecasters continue to classify it as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus reflects the district’s established electoral math and the absence of competitive indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$26,249Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...The Texas 38th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat based on its partisan lean, recent voting patterns, and consistent nonpartisan ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. Incumbent Wesley Hunt’s decision to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat, but the Republican primary process concluded with Jon Bonck securing the nomination after a May 2026 runoff victory. Democratic nominee Melissa McDonough advanced from her March primary with limited resources or visibility in the west Houston and northwest Harris County area. No polls or late developments have altered the race’s trajectory in recent weeks, and forecasters continue to classify it as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus reflects the district’s established electoral math and the absence of competitive indicators.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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