Republican nominee Brandon Herrera holds a clear advantage in Texas's 23rd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, as reflected in the 68.5% market price. The sprawling, majority-Hispanic district along the Mexico border has leaned Republican in recent cycles, with analysts at the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rating it Likely Republican. Incumbent Tony Gonzales resigned in April amid scandal, allowing Herrera—a gun-rights activist who topped the March primary—to secure the nomination without a runoff. Democratic nominee Katy Padilla Stout won her primary decisively, and national Democrats added the seat to their target list in August, citing the vacancy and prior GOP turmoil. However, the district's partisan baseline and limited recent polling keep Republican odds elevated despite these factors.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertTX-23 Wahlsieger
TX-23 Wahlsieger
$38,503 Vol.
$38,503 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
69%
Demokratische Partei
32%
$38,503 Vol.
$38,503 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$22,643 Vol.
69%
Demokratische Partei
$15,860 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican nominee Brandon Herrera holds a clear advantage in Texas's 23rd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, as reflected in the 68.5% market price. The sprawling, majority-Hispanic district along the Mexico border has leaned Republican in recent cycles, with analysts at the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rating it Likely Republican. Incumbent Tony Gonzales resigned in April amid scandal, allowing Herrera—a gun-rights activist who topped the March primary—to secure the nomination without a runoff. Democratic nominee Katy Padilla Stout won her primary decisively, and national Democrats added the seat to their target list in August, citing the vacancy and prior GOP turmoil. However, the district's partisan baseline and limited recent polling keep Republican odds elevated despite these factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$38,503Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican nominee Brandon Herrera holds a clear advantage in Texas's 23rd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, as reflected in the 68.5% market price. The sprawling, majority-Hispanic district along the Mexico border has leaned Republican in recent cycles, with analysts at the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rating it Likely Republican. Incumbent Tony Gonzales resigned in April amid scandal, allowing Herrera—a gun-rights activist who topped the March primary—to secure the nomination without a runoff. Democratic nominee Katy Padilla Stout won her primary decisively, and national Democrats added the seat to their target list in August, citing the vacancy and prior GOP turmoil. However, the district's partisan baseline and limited recent polling keep Republican odds elevated despite these factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$38,503Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican nominee Brandon Herrera holds a clear advantage in Texas's 23rd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, as reflected in the 68.5% market price. The sprawling, majority-Hispanic district along the Mexico border has leaned Republican in recent cycles, with analysts at the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rating it Likely Republican. Incumbent Tony Gonzales resigned in April amid scandal, allowing Herrera—a gun-rights activist who topped the March primary—to secure the nomination without a runoff. Democratic nominee Katy Padilla Stout won her primary decisively, and national Democrats added the seat to their target list in August, citing the vacancy and prior GOP turmoil. However, the district's partisan baseline and limited recent polling keep Republican odds elevated despite these factors.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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