**Republican nominee Brandon Herrera holds a strong position in the TX-23 general election matchup against Democrat Katy Padilla Stout, consistent with the district’s R+7 partisan lean and recent polling.** The majority-Hispanic border district, stretching from San Antonio suburbs through Del Rio and Uvalde to El Paso fringes, has trended Republican in recent cycles despite Democratic targeting efforts. Herrera advanced as the GOP nominee after incumbent Tony Gonzales placed second in the March 2026 primary and withdrew amid a personal scandal, avoiding a runoff. A late-July Remington Research poll showed Herrera leading Stout 47-41 among likely voters. Most independent ratings classify the seat as Likely Republican, reflecting the district’s voting history and the absence of an incumbent advantage for Democrats. An independent candidate is also on the ballot for November 3.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertTX-23 Wahlsieger
TX-23 Wahlsieger
$38,095 Vol.
$38,095 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
69%
Demokratische Partei
31%
$38,095 Vol.
$38,095 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$22,290 Vol.
69%
Demokratische Partei
$15,804 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican nominee Brandon Herrera holds a strong position in the TX-23 general election matchup against Democrat Katy Padilla Stout, consistent with the district’s R+7 partisan lean and recent polling.** The majority-Hispanic border district, stretching from San Antonio suburbs through Del Rio and Uvalde to El Paso fringes, has trended Republican in recent cycles despite Democratic targeting efforts.
Herrera advanced as the GOP nominee after incumbent Tony Gonzales placed second in the March 2026 primary and withdrew amid a personal scandal, avoiding a runoff. A late-July Remington Research poll showed Herrera leading Stout 47-41 among likely voters. Most independent ratings classify the seat as Likely Republican, reflecting the district’s voting history and the absence of an incumbent advantage for Democrats. An independent candidate is also on the ballot for November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$38,095Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican nominee Brandon Herrera holds a strong position in the TX-23 general election matchup against Democrat Katy Padilla Stout, consistent with the district’s R+7 partisan lean and recent polling.** The majority-Hispanic border district, stretching from San Antonio suburbs through Del Rio and Uvalde to El Paso fringes, has trended Republican in recent cycles despite Democratic targeting efforts.
Herrera advanced as the GOP nominee after incumbent Tony Gonzales placed second in the March 2026 primary and withdrew amid a personal scandal, avoiding a runoff. A late-July Remington Research poll showed Herrera leading Stout 47-41 among likely voters. Most independent ratings classify the seat as Likely Republican, reflecting the district’s voting history and the absence of an incumbent advantage for Democrats. An independent candidate is also on the ballot for November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$38,095Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican nominee Brandon Herrera holds a strong position in the TX-23 general election matchup against Democrat Katy Padilla Stout, consistent with the district’s R+7 partisan lean and recent polling.** The majority-Hispanic border district, stretching from San Antonio suburbs through Del Rio and Uvalde to El Paso fringes, has trended Republican in recent cycles despite Democratic targeting efforts. Herrera advanced as the GOP nominee after incumbent Tony Gonzales placed second in the March 2026 primary and withdrew amid a personal scandal, avoiding a runoff. A late-July Remington Research poll showed Herrera leading Stout 47-41 among likely voters. Most independent ratings classify the seat as Likely Republican, reflecting the district’s voting history and the absence of an incumbent advantage for Democrats. An independent candidate is also on the ballot for November 3.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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