**Exceptional drought (D4) conditions remain limited but entrenched in parts of the southern Plains and scattered High Plains and western locations as of the August 20 U.S. Drought Monitor map (data valid August 18).** Western Oklahoma, the Texas Panhandle, southeastern Arkansas, portions of western Nebraska and Colorado, northeastern Oregon, and far southern Idaho show D4, driven by persistent high pressure, record warmth, below-normal precipitation, and flash-drought indicators such as depleted soil moisture and poor crop conditions. Roughly 1.1% of the U.S. registers in D4, with overall drought (D1–D4) covering 44.3% of the nation. The U.S. Drought Monitor map released August 27 will reflect conditions through August 25 and serve as the key resolution input. Forecasters anticipate continued below-normal rainfall across much of Texas and the southern Plains through the period, with above-normal temperatures likely to sustain or intensify deficits, while eastern and northern areas may see relief from expected precipitation. Traders monitor short-term precipitation anomalies, evaporative demand, and streamflow data for any rapid shifts before the data cutoff.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertExceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026

Alabama
50%

Arizona
50%

Arkansas
50%

California
51%

Colorado
50%

Delaware
28%

Florida
50%

Georgia
50%

Idaho
50%

Illinois
50%

Indiana
50%

Iowa
50%

Kansas
50%

Kentucky
50%

Louisiana
50%

Maryland
50%

Minnesota
50%

Mississippi
50%

Missouri
50%

Montana
50%

Nebraska
79%

Nevada
50%

New Jersey
50%

New Mexico
51%

North Carolina
50%

North Dakota
50%

Ohio
50%

Oklahoma
50%

Oregon
50%

Pennsylvania
50%

South Carolina
50%

South Dakota
50%

Tennessee
50%

Texas
66%

Utah
50%

Virginia
41%

Washington
51%

West Virginia
50%

Wisconsin
50%

Wyoming
50%
$1,046 Vol.

Alabama
50%

Arizona
50%

Arkansas
50%

California
51%

Colorado
50%

Delaware
28%

Florida
50%

Georgia
50%

Idaho
50%

Illinois
50%

Indiana
50%

Iowa
50%

Kansas
50%

Kentucky
50%

Louisiana
50%

Maryland
50%

Minnesota
50%

Mississippi
50%

Missouri
50%

Montana
50%

Nebraska
79%

Nevada
50%

New Jersey
50%

New Mexico
51%

North Carolina
50%

North Dakota
50%

Ohio
50%

Oklahoma
50%

Oregon
50%

Pennsylvania
50%

South Carolina
50%

South Dakota
50%

Tennessee
50%

Texas
66%

Utah
50%

Virginia
41%

Washington
51%

West Virginia
50%

Wisconsin
50%

Wyoming
50%
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Nebraska carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Nebraska market and make no claim about Nebraska's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxResolver
0x65070BE91...D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Nebraska carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Nebraska market and make no claim about Nebraska's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxResolver
0x65070BE91...**Exceptional drought (D4) conditions remain limited but entrenched in parts of the southern Plains and scattered High Plains and western locations as of the August 20 U.S. Drought Monitor map (data valid August 18).** Western Oklahoma, the Texas Panhandle, southeastern Arkansas, portions of western Nebraska and Colorado, northeastern Oregon, and far southern Idaho show D4, driven by persistent high pressure, record warmth, below-normal precipitation, and flash-drought indicators such as depleted soil moisture and poor crop conditions. Roughly 1.1% of the U.S. registers in D4, with overall drought (D1–D4) covering 44.3% of the nation. The U.S. Drought Monitor map released August 27 will reflect conditions through August 25 and serve as the key resolution input. Forecasters anticipate continued below-normal rainfall across much of Texas and the southern Plains through the period, with above-normal temperatures likely to sustain or intensify deficits, while eastern and northern areas may see relief from expected precipitation. Traders monitor short-term precipitation anomalies, evaporative demand, and streamflow data for any rapid shifts before the data cutoff.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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