Stripe’s February 2026 tender offer at a $159 billion valuation, backed by $1.9 trillion in 2025 payment volume (up 34% year-over-year) and robust profitability, underpins trader sentiment amid the closely matched probabilities. Founders have reiterated no near-term IPO plans, favoring continued private status and secondary liquidity mechanisms, which supports the 44% implied odds of no listing by December 2027. The wide dispersion across closing market-cap buckets—from sub-$150 billion to $500 billion-plus—reflects uncertainty over listing timing, potential acquisition activity such as PayPal discussions, and the multiple the company could command in public markets relative to peers. Upcoming catalysts include any S-1 filing or further tender updates that could shift implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertStripe IPO Closing Marktkapitalisierung
250–300 Mrd. $ 70%
<150 Mrd. $ 43%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 31. Dezember 2027 43%
500 Mrd. $+ 42%
<150 Mrd. $
43%
150 Mrd. $–200 Mrd. $
39%
200 Mrd. $ - 250 Mrd. $
9%
250–300 Mrd. $
70%
300–350 Mrd. $
-
350 Mrd. $–400 Mrd. $
38%
$400B-$450B
40%
450–500 Mrd. $
22%
500 Mrd. $+
42%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 31. Dezember 2027
43%
250–300 Mrd. $ 70%
<150 Mrd. $ 43%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 31. Dezember 2027 43%
500 Mrd. $+ 42%
<150 Mrd. $
43%
150 Mrd. $–200 Mrd. $
39%
200 Mrd. $ - 250 Mrd. $
9%
250–300 Mrd. $
70%
300–350 Mrd. $
-
350 Mrd. $–400 Mrd. $
38%
$400B-$450B
40%
450–500 Mrd. $
22%
500 Mrd. $+
42%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 31. Dezember 2027
43%
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 1, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Stripe’s February 2026 tender offer at a $159 billion valuation, backed by $1.9 trillion in 2025 payment volume (up 34% year-over-year) and robust profitability, underpins trader sentiment amid the closely matched probabilities. Founders have reiterated no near-term IPO plans, favoring continued private status and secondary liquidity mechanisms, which supports the 44% implied odds of no listing by December 2027. The wide dispersion across closing market-cap buckets—from sub-$150 billion to $500 billion-plus—reflects uncertainty over listing timing, potential acquisition activity such as PayPal discussions, and the multiple the company could command in public markets relative to peers. Upcoming catalysts include any S-1 filing or further tender updates that could shift implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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