Xi Jinping’s scheduled state visit to Washington on September 24, 2026, stands as the dominant driver behind the 95.5% implied probability for a U.S. trip before 2027. This date reciprocates President Trump’s May 2026 Beijing summit, with both governments confirming preparations through official channels and repeated public statements despite ongoing frictions over trade, AI, and technology controls. The “wisdom of crowds” reflected in current pricing aligns with the near-term timeline and established diplomatic sequence, leaving limited room for derailment in the remaining months. Realistic scenarios that could still alter the outcome include abrupt cancellation from sudden escalation in bilateral disputes, unforeseen health or security developments, or shifts in either leader’s schedule.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWird Xi Jinping uns vor 2027 besuchen?
Wird Xi Jinping uns vor 2027 besuchen?
Ja
96% Chance
$636,204 Vol.
$636,204 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
96% Chance
$636,204 Vol.
$636,204 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Xi Jinping’s scheduled state visit to Washington on September 24, 2026, stands as the dominant driver behind the 95.5% implied probability for a U.S. trip before 2027. This date reciprocates President Trump’s May 2026 Beijing summit, with both governments confirming preparations through official channels and repeated public statements despite ongoing frictions over trade, AI, and technology controls. The “wisdom of crowds” reflected in current pricing aligns with the near-term timeline and established diplomatic sequence, leaving limited room for derailment in the remaining months. Realistic scenarios that could still alter the outcome include abrupt cancellation from sudden escalation in bilateral disputes, unforeseen health or security developments, or shifts in either leader’s schedule.
If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 13, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
Volumen
$636,204Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 13, 2026, 4:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Xi Jinping’s scheduled state visit to Washington on September 24, 2026, stands as the dominant driver behind the 95.5% implied probability for a U.S. trip before 2027. This date reciprocates President Trump’s May 2026 Beijing summit, with both governments confirming preparations through official channels and repeated public statements despite ongoing frictions over trade, AI, and technology controls. The “wisdom of crowds” reflected in current pricing aligns with the near-term timeline and established diplomatic sequence, leaving limited room for derailment in the remaining months. Realistic scenarios that could still alter the outcome include abrupt cancellation from sudden escalation in bilateral disputes, unforeseen health or security developments, or shifts in either leader’s schedule.
If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$636,204Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 13, 2026, 4:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s scheduled state visit to Washington on September 24, 2026, stands as the dominant driver behind the 95.5% implied probability for a U.S. trip before 2027. This date reciprocates President Trump’s May 2026 Beijing summit, with both governments confirming preparations through official channels and repeated public statements despite ongoing frictions over trade, AI, and technology controls. The “wisdom of crowds” reflected in current pricing aligns with the near-term timeline and established diplomatic sequence, leaving limited room for derailment in the remaining months. Realistic scenarios that could still alter the outcome include abrupt cancellation from sudden escalation in bilateral disputes, unforeseen health or security developments, or shifts in either leader’s schedule.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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