Wyoming's at-large House seat remains a solidly Republican district with an R+23 Partisan Voter Index and a history of large GOP margins in federal contests, including the prior incumbent's 47-point victory in 2024. The open seat created by Harriet Hageman's Senate bid has drawn a crowded Republican primary field ahead of the August 18 contest, while Democratic candidates face a narrow path in the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus that reflects the state's conservative electorate and limited crossover voting. A late primary upset producing an unusually divisive nominee or an unforeseen national shift could narrow the gap, though both outcomes remain low-probability given established turnout patterns and fundraising trends.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWY-AL Wahlsieger
WY-AL Wahlsieger
$42,399 Vol.
$42,399 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
94%
Demokratische Partei
2%
$42,399 Vol.
$42,399 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$18,591 Vol.
94%
Demokratische Partei
$23,808 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wyoming's at-large House seat remains a solidly Republican district with an R+23 Partisan Voter Index and a history of large GOP margins in federal contests, including the prior incumbent's 47-point victory in 2024. The open seat created by Harriet Hageman's Senate bid has drawn a crowded Republican primary field ahead of the August 18 contest, while Democratic candidates face a narrow path in the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus that reflects the state's conservative electorate and limited crossover voting. A late primary upset producing an unusually divisive nominee or an unforeseen national shift could narrow the gap, though both outcomes remain low-probability given established turnout patterns and fundraising trends.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$42,399Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wyoming's at-large House seat remains a solidly Republican district with an R+23 Partisan Voter Index and a history of large GOP margins in federal contests, including the prior incumbent's 47-point victory in 2024. The open seat created by Harriet Hageman's Senate bid has drawn a crowded Republican primary field ahead of the August 18 contest, while Democratic candidates face a narrow path in the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus that reflects the state's conservative electorate and limited crossover voting. A late primary upset producing an unusually divisive nominee or an unforeseen national shift could narrow the gap, though both outcomes remain low-probability given established turnout patterns and fundraising trends.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$42,399Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's at-large House seat remains a solidly Republican district with an R+23 Partisan Voter Index and a history of large GOP margins in federal contests, including the prior incumbent's 47-point victory in 2024. The open seat created by Harriet Hageman's Senate bid has drawn a crowded Republican primary field ahead of the August 18 contest, while Democratic candidates face a narrow path in the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus that reflects the state's conservative electorate and limited crossover voting. A late primary upset producing an unusually divisive nominee or an unforeseen national shift could narrow the gap, though both outcomes remain low-probability given established turnout patterns and fundraising trends.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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