The high probability assigned to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end reflects stalled bilateral diplomacy since their August 2025 summit in Anchorage, where discussions on Ukraine produced no agreement and subsequent mediation efforts have faltered amid continued fighting. Recent reports show European capitals seeking greater involvement in any future talks while Moscow signals limited interest in renewed U.S.-led engagement. Trader positioning also accounts for the December 2026 G20 in Miami, where an invitation to Putin remains uncertain, alongside speculation over multilateral forums such as potential BRICS-related events in China that could facilitate a bilateral encounter. No confirmed 2026 summit dates or locations have emerged to shift these assessments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWo treffen sich Trump und Putin im Jahr 2026 als nächstes?
Kein Treffen bis zum 31. Dezember 62%
China 31%
United States 2.6%
Gulf country <1%
$470,519 Vol.
$470,519 Vol.

Kein Treffen bis zum 31. Dezember
62%

China
31%

United States
3%

Gulf country
1%

Russia
1%

Other
1%

Other EU country
1%

Switzerland
1%

Belarus
<1%

Turkey
<1%

Finland
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
Kein Treffen bis zum 31. Dezember 62%
China 31%
United States 2.6%
Gulf country <1%
$470,519 Vol.
$470,519 Vol.

Kein Treffen bis zum 31. Dezember
62%

China
31%

United States
3%

Gulf country
1%

Russia
1%

Other
1%

Other EU country
1%

Switzerland
1%

Belarus
<1%

Turkey
<1%

Finland
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The high probability assigned to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end reflects stalled bilateral diplomacy since their August 2025 summit in Anchorage, where discussions on Ukraine produced no agreement and subsequent mediation efforts have faltered amid continued fighting. Recent reports show European capitals seeking greater involvement in any future talks while Moscow signals limited interest in renewed U.S.-led engagement. Trader positioning also accounts for the December 2026 G20 in Miami, where an invitation to Putin remains uncertain, alongside speculation over multilateral forums such as potential BRICS-related events in China that could facilitate a bilateral encounter. No confirmed 2026 summit dates or locations have emerged to shift these assessments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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