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Tech·Elon Musk

Another Elon baby by June 30?

icon for Another Elon baby by June 30?
Tech·Elon Musk

Another Elon baby by June 30?

<1% probabilidad
Polymarket

$60,583 Vol.

<1% probabilidad
Polymarket

$60,583 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the existence of another Elon Musk child is confirmed between December 10, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any child explicitly claimed by Elon Musk or confirmed to be his child by a consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Qualifying announcements of a pregnancy will count. The resolution source for this market will be information from Elon Musk and a consensus of credible reporting.The near-certain 95.5% market-implied odds for "No" on another Elon Musk child by June 30, 2026 stem primarily from the complete lack of credible reports, announcements, or public signals of a new pregnancy or imminent birth in 2026. Musk's most recent children arrived in 2025—one with Ashley St. Clair (born September 2024, publicly confirmed early 2025) and another with Shivon Zilis (announced February 2025)—with no verified updates since. Traders weigh the 12-day window against typical private timelines for Musk family news and the absence of surrogacy leaks or medical disclosures. While an unannounced surrogate delivery remains theoretically possible, it would require an extraordinarily compressed and undetected process unlikely to shift consensus before resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the existence of another Elon Musk child is confirmed between December 10, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any child explicitly claimed by Elon Musk or confirmed to be his child by a consensus of credible reporting will qualify.

Qualifying announcements of a pregnancy will count.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Elon Musk and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$60,583
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 10, 2025, 6:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the existence of another Elon Musk child is confirmed between December 10, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any child explicitly claimed by Elon Musk or confirmed to be his child by a consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Qualifying announcements of a pregnancy will count. The resolution source for this market will be information from Elon Musk and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the existence of another Elon Musk child is confirmed between December 10, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any child explicitly claimed by Elon Musk or confirmed to be his child by a consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Qualifying announcements of a pregnancy will count. The resolution source for this market will be information from Elon Musk and a consensus of credible reporting.The near-certain 95.5% market-implied odds for "No" on another Elon Musk child by June 30, 2026 stem primarily from the complete lack of credible reports, announcements, or public signals of a new pregnancy or imminent birth in 2026. Musk's most recent children arrived in 2025—one with Ashley St. Clair (born September 2024, publicly confirmed early 2025) and another with Shivon Zilis (announced February 2025)—with no verified updates since. Traders weigh the 12-day window against typical private timelines for Musk family news and the absence of surrogacy leaks or medical disclosures. While an unannounced surrogate delivery remains theoretically possible, it would require an extraordinarily compressed and undetected process unlikely to shift consensus before resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the existence of another Elon Musk child is confirmed between December 10, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any child explicitly claimed by Elon Musk or confirmed to be his child by a consensus of credible reporting will qualify.

Qualifying announcements of a pregnancy will count.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Elon Musk and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$60,583
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 10, 2025, 6:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the existence of another Elon Musk child is confirmed between December 10, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any child explicitly claimed by Elon Musk or confirmed to be his child by a consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Qualifying announcements of a pregnancy will count. The resolution source for this market will be information from Elon Musk and a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Another Elon baby by June 30?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 0% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 0¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 0% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Another Elon baby by June 30?" ha generado $60.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 10, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Another Elon baby by June 30?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Another Elon baby by June 30?" es 0% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 0% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Another Elon baby by June 30?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.