Anthropic's recent Claude Opus upgrades, including Opus 4.8 with expanded one-million-token context and improved agentic coding performance, underpin the overwhelming 94.5% market-implied probability. These releases have delivered state-of-the-art results on benchmarks such as SWE-bench, where Claude variants consistently lead in complex, multi-file refactoring and long-horizon workflows that developers prioritize over raw speed. Strong ecosystem integration in tools like Cursor further reinforces trader consensus around Anthropic's edge in practical coding utility. While a surprise late-June model drop from OpenAI or Google could narrow the gap, current verified capabilities and adoption patterns make such a reversal unlikely before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Qué empresa tiene el mejor modelo de Coding AI a finales de junio?
¿Qué empresa tiene el mejor modelo de Coding AI a finales de junio?
Anthropic 95%
OpenAI 4.3%
Z.ai <1%
Google <1%
$54,595 Vol.
$54,595 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Anthropic
95%
OpenAI
4%
Z.ai
1%
<1%
xAI
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Meta
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Anthropic 95%
OpenAI 4.3%
Z.ai <1%
Google <1%
$54,595 Vol.
$54,595 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Anthropic
$8,180 Vol.
95%
OpenAI
$6,751 Vol.
4%
Z.ai
$6,006 Vol.
1%
$5,421 Vol.
<1%
xAI
$6,210 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$2,839 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$4,353 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$4,457 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$4,524 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$1,844 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$747 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$868 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$894 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$633 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$870 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's recent Claude Opus upgrades, including Opus 4.8 with expanded one-million-token context and improved agentic coding performance, underpin the overwhelming 94.5% market-implied probability. These releases have delivered state-of-the-art results on benchmarks such as SWE-bench, where Claude variants consistently lead in complex, multi-file refactoring and long-horizon workflows that developers prioritize over raw speed. Strong ecosystem integration in tools like Cursor further reinforces trader consensus around Anthropic's edge in practical coding utility. While a surprise late-June model drop from OpenAI or Google could narrow the gap, current verified capabilities and adoption patterns make such a reversal unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Mercado abierto: May 26, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Volumen
$54,595Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 26, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's recent Claude Opus upgrades, including Opus 4.8 with expanded one-million-token context and improved agentic coding performance, underpin the overwhelming 94.5% market-implied probability. These releases have delivered state-of-the-art results on benchmarks such as SWE-bench, where Claude variants consistently lead in complex, multi-file refactoring and long-horizon workflows that developers prioritize over raw speed. Strong ecosystem integration in tools like Cursor further reinforces trader consensus around Anthropic's edge in practical coding utility. While a surprise late-June model drop from OpenAI or Google could narrow the gap, current verified capabilities and adoption patterns make such a reversal unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volumen
$54,595Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 26, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's recent Claude Opus upgrades, including Opus 4.8 with expanded one-million-token context and improved agentic coding performance, underpin the overwhelming 94.5% market-implied probability. These releases have delivered state-of-the-art results on benchmarks such as SWE-bench, where Claude variants consistently lead in complex, multi-file refactoring and long-horizon workflows that developers prioritize over raw speed. Strong ecosystem integration in tools like Cursor further reinforces trader consensus around Anthropic's edge in practical coding utility. While a surprise late-June model drop from OpenAI or Google could narrow the gap, current verified capabilities and adoption patterns make such a reversal unlikely before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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