SpaceX’s record $75 billion IPO priced at $135 on June 11 and delivered a strong first-day close of $160.95 on June 12, reflecting 4x oversubscription, heavy retail inflows exceeding $100 billion in orders, and immediate index-inclusion expectations for the Nasdaq-100. These factors underpin the 60% market-implied probability that SPCX opens higher on the second trading day, as momentum from the 19% debut gain and ongoing institutional accumulation outweigh near-term risks of profit-taking or typical post-IPO volatility. Upcoming catalysts include potential accelerated index flows and any follow-through trading volume data that could sustain or reverse the initial surge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAl alza
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This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's opening share price on its second day of trading is greater than or equal to the closing share price on the previous trading day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.”
The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange.
The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.SpaceX’s record $75 billion IPO priced at $135 on June 11 and delivered a strong first-day close of $160.95 on June 12, reflecting 4x oversubscription, heavy retail inflows exceeding $100 billion in orders, and immediate index-inclusion expectations for the Nasdaq-100. These factors underpin the 60% market-implied probability that SPCX opens higher on the second trading day, as momentum from the 19% debut gain and ongoing institutional accumulation outweigh near-term risks of profit-taking or typical post-IPO volatility. Upcoming catalysts include potential accelerated index flows and any follow-through trading volume data that could sustain or reverse the initial surge.
This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's opening share price on its second day of trading is greater than or equal to the closing share price on the previous trading day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.”
The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange.
The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.
The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange.
The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.
Mercado abierto: Jun 9, 2026, 1:48 AM ET
Volumen
$9,890Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 1:48 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's opening share price on its second day of trading is greater than or equal to the closing share price on the previous trading day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.”
The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange.
The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.SpaceX’s record $75 billion IPO priced at $135 on June 11 and delivered a strong first-day close of $160.95 on June 12, reflecting 4x oversubscription, heavy retail inflows exceeding $100 billion in orders, and immediate index-inclusion expectations for the Nasdaq-100. These factors underpin the 60% market-implied probability that SPCX opens higher on the second trading day, as momentum from the 19% debut gain and ongoing institutional accumulation outweigh near-term risks of profit-taking or typical post-IPO volatility. Upcoming catalysts include potential accelerated index flows and any follow-through trading volume data that could sustain or reverse the initial surge.
This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's opening share price on its second day of trading is greater than or equal to the closing share price on the previous trading day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.”
The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange.
The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.
The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange.
The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.
Volumen
$9,891Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 1:48 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX’s record $75 billion IPO priced at $135 on June 11 and delivered a strong first-day close of $160.95 on June 12, reflecting 4x oversubscription, heavy retail inflows exceeding $100 billion in orders, and immediate index-inclusion expectations for the Nasdaq-100. These factors underpin the 60% market-implied probability that SPCX opens higher on the second trading day, as momentum from the 19% debut gain and ongoing institutional accumulation outweigh near-term risks of profit-taking or typical post-IPO volatility. Upcoming catalysts include potential accelerated index flows and any follow-through trading volume data that could sustain or reverse the initial surge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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