**Deep Fission’s IPO pricing reflects skepticism toward its early-stage underground SMR technology despite AI-driven nuclear interest.** The company, which is developing 15 MWe borehole reactors placed roughly one mile underground, launched its Nasdaq roadshow in late May 2026 targeting $24–26 per share for a roughly $1.66 billion valuation and up to $157 million in proceeds. Media coverage quickly highlighted execution risks, the pre-revenue status, a prior non-trading SPAC listing, and questions about the novel deep-borehole approach, pressuring expectations lower. By early June, the offering was revised to a $16–18 range with fewer shares, directly supporting trader consensus around sub-$1.25 billion or $1.25–1.5 billion closing market caps. Positive backdrop includes DOE Reactor Pilot Program selection and Kansas drilling progress, yet these milestones have not offset valuation concerns for a firm still years from commercial reactors. The 22% chance of no IPO before August captures lingering timeline uncertainty around final pricing and regulatory steps.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado<$1.25B 52.0%
$3.0B+ 33.7%
$2.5B–$3.0B 14.2%
$1.75B–$2.0B 14.0%
$19,221 Vol.
$19,221 Vol.
29 may 2026
<$1.25B
52%
$1.25B–$1.5B
27%
$1.5B–$1.75B
6%
$1.75B–$2.0B
14%
$2.0B–$2.5B
9%
$2.5B–$3.0B
15%
$3.0B+
34%
No IPO before August 2026
21%
<$1.25B 52.0%
$3.0B+ 33.7%
$2.5B–$3.0B 14.2%
$1.75B–$2.0B 14.0%
$19,221 Vol.
$19,221 Vol.
29 may 2026
<$1.25B
$1,070 Vol.
52%
$1.25B–$1.5B
$727 Vol.
27%
$1.5B–$1.75B
$9,526 Vol.
6%
$1.75B–$2.0B
$4,332 Vol.
14%
$2.0B–$2.5B
$815 Vol.
9%
$2.5B–$3.0B
$599 Vol.
15%
$3.0B+
$714 Vol.
34%
No IPO before August 2026
$1,437 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve based on Deep Fission's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.**Deep Fission’s IPO pricing reflects skepticism toward its early-stage underground SMR technology despite AI-driven nuclear interest.** The company, which is developing 15 MWe borehole reactors placed roughly one mile underground, launched its Nasdaq roadshow in late May 2026 targeting $24–26 per share for a roughly $1.66 billion valuation and up to $157 million in proceeds. Media coverage quickly highlighted execution risks, the pre-revenue status, a prior non-trading SPAC listing, and questions about the novel deep-borehole approach, pressuring expectations lower.
By early June, the offering was revised to a $16–18 range with fewer shares, directly supporting trader consensus around sub-$1.25 billion or $1.25–1.5 billion closing market caps. Positive backdrop includes DOE Reactor Pilot Program selection and Kansas drilling progress, yet these milestones have not offset valuation concerns for a firm still years from commercial reactors. The 22% chance of no IPO before August captures lingering timeline uncertainty around final pricing and regulatory steps.
This market will resolve based on Deep Fission's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Volumen
$19,221Fecha de finalización
29 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Deep Fission's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.**Deep Fission’s IPO pricing reflects skepticism toward its early-stage underground SMR technology despite AI-driven nuclear interest.** The company, which is developing 15 MWe borehole reactors placed roughly one mile underground, launched its Nasdaq roadshow in late May 2026 targeting $24–26 per share for a roughly $1.66 billion valuation and up to $157 million in proceeds. Media coverage quickly highlighted execution risks, the pre-revenue status, a prior non-trading SPAC listing, and questions about the novel deep-borehole approach, pressuring expectations lower.
By early June, the offering was revised to a $16–18 range with fewer shares, directly supporting trader consensus around sub-$1.25 billion or $1.25–1.5 billion closing market caps. Positive backdrop includes DOE Reactor Pilot Program selection and Kansas drilling progress, yet these milestones have not offset valuation concerns for a firm still years from commercial reactors. The 22% chance of no IPO before August captures lingering timeline uncertainty around final pricing and regulatory steps.
This market will resolve based on Deep Fission's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volumen
$19,221Fecha de finalización
29 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Deep Fission’s IPO pricing reflects skepticism toward its early-stage underground SMR technology despite AI-driven nuclear interest.** The company, which is developing 15 MWe borehole reactors placed roughly one mile underground, launched its Nasdaq roadshow in late May 2026 targeting $24–26 per share for a roughly $1.66 billion valuation and up to $157 million in proceeds. Media coverage quickly highlighted execution risks, the pre-revenue status, a prior non-trading SPAC listing, and questions about the novel deep-borehole approach, pressuring expectations lower. By early June, the offering was revised to a $16–18 range with fewer shares, directly supporting trader consensus around sub-$1.25 billion or $1.25–1.5 billion closing market caps. Positive backdrop includes DOE Reactor Pilot Program selection and Kansas drilling progress, yet these milestones have not offset valuation concerns for a firm still years from commercial reactors. The 22% chance of no IPO before August captures lingering timeline uncertainty around final pricing and regulatory steps.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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