SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing and reports targeting a June 2026 Nasdaq listing at roughly $1.75 trillion with a potential $50–75 billion raise have anchored trader sentiment, pushing the 1.75–2.00T outcome to a 61% market-implied probability. Recent private-market pricing at $800 billion in December 2025 and 2025 revenue estimates near $18–21 billion imply forward multiples exceeding 80–125x sales, reflecting optimism around Starlink subscriber growth and launch dominance while acknowledging governance and execution risks. The 31% probability on 2.00–2.25T captures upside from oversubscription potential, whereas lower bins remain sidelined absent negative regulatory or macroeconomic shifts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado1,75-2,00 billones 61%
2,00-2,25T 11%
2.25-2.50T 7.7%
2.50T+ 6.0%
$133,285 Vol.
$133,285 Vol.
<1,25B
1%
1.25-1.50T
4%
1,50-1,75T
22%
1,75-2,00 billones
61%
2,00-2,25T
27%
2.25-2.50T
8%
2.50T+
6%
1,75-2,00 billones 61%
2,00-2,25T 11%
2.25-2.50T 7.7%
2.50T+ 6.0%
$133,285 Vol.
$133,285 Vol.
<1,25B
$60,323 Vol.
1%
1.25-1.50T
$16,039 Vol.
4%
1,50-1,75T
$9,240 Vol.
22%
1,75-2,00 billones
$12,910 Vol.
61%
2,00-2,25T
$13,938 Vol.
27%
2.25-2.50T
$10,055 Vol.
8%
2.50T+
$10,779 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing and reports targeting a June 2026 Nasdaq listing at roughly $1.75 trillion with a potential $50–75 billion raise have anchored trader sentiment, pushing the 1.75–2.00T outcome to a 61% market-implied probability. Recent private-market pricing at $800 billion in December 2025 and 2025 revenue estimates near $18–21 billion imply forward multiples exceeding 80–125x sales, reflecting optimism around Starlink subscriber growth and launch dominance while acknowledging governance and execution risks. The 31% probability on 2.00–2.25T captures upside from oversubscription potential, whereas lower bins remain sidelined absent negative regulatory or macroeconomic shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Volumen
$133,285Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing and reports targeting a June 2026 Nasdaq listing at roughly $1.75 trillion with a potential $50–75 billion raise have anchored trader sentiment, pushing the 1.75–2.00T outcome to a 61% market-implied probability. Recent private-market pricing at $800 billion in December 2025 and 2025 revenue estimates near $18–21 billion imply forward multiples exceeding 80–125x sales, reflecting optimism around Starlink subscriber growth and launch dominance while acknowledging governance and execution risks. The 31% probability on 2.00–2.25T captures upside from oversubscription potential, whereas lower bins remain sidelined absent negative regulatory or macroeconomic shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$133,285Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing and reports targeting a June 2026 Nasdaq listing at roughly $1.75 trillion with a potential $50–75 billion raise have anchored trader sentiment, pushing the 1.75–2.00T outcome to a 61% market-implied probability. Recent private-market pricing at $800 billion in December 2025 and 2025 revenue estimates near $18–21 billion imply forward multiples exceeding 80–125x sales, reflecting optimism around Starlink subscriber growth and launch dominance while acknowledging governance and execution risks. The 31% probability on 2.00–2.25T captures upside from oversubscription potential, whereas lower bins remain sidelined absent negative regulatory or macroeconomic shifts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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