Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a NASDAQ listing for SpaceX at 95.5% implied probability, driven by recent Reuters reporting that the company is leaning toward the tech-focused exchange to secure early inclusion in the Nasdaq-100 index. This positioning stems from Nasdaq's May 2026 rule changes enabling rapid entry for megacap IPOs like SpaceX's anticipated June debut, potentially at a $1.75–2 trillion valuation—bolstered by Starlink revenue growth and Starship mission successes. SpaceX's alignment with Nasdaq aligns with Tesla's precedent under Elon Musk. Realistic challenges include competitive bids from NYSE or the new Texas Stock Exchange, given SpaceX's Texas headquarters, or delays in confidential S-1 filing reviews, with final announcements expected imminently.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNASDAQ 96%
Otro 4.1%
Bolsa de Nueva York 1.1%
$100,073 Vol.
$100,073 Vol.
NASDAQ
96%
Otro
4%
Bolsa de Nueva York
1%
NASDAQ 96%
Otro 4.1%
Bolsa de Nueva York 1.1%
$100,073 Vol.
$100,073 Vol.
NASDAQ
$23,033 Vol.
96%
Otro
$58,130 Vol.
4%
Bolsa de Nueva York
$18,910 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a NASDAQ listing for SpaceX at 95.5% implied probability, driven by recent Reuters reporting that the company is leaning toward the tech-focused exchange to secure early inclusion in the Nasdaq-100 index. This positioning stems from Nasdaq's May 2026 rule changes enabling rapid entry for megacap IPOs like SpaceX's anticipated June debut, potentially at a $1.75–2 trillion valuation—bolstered by Starlink revenue growth and Starship mission successes. SpaceX's alignment with Nasdaq aligns with Tesla's precedent under Elon Musk. Realistic challenges include competitive bids from NYSE or the new Texas Stock Exchange, given SpaceX's Texas headquarters, or delays in confidential S-1 filing reviews, with final announcements expected imminently.
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volumen
$100,073Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a NASDAQ listing for SpaceX at 95.5% implied probability, driven by recent Reuters reporting that the company is leaning toward the tech-focused exchange to secure early inclusion in the Nasdaq-100 index. This positioning stems from Nasdaq's May 2026 rule changes enabling rapid entry for megacap IPOs like SpaceX's anticipated June debut, potentially at a $1.75–2 trillion valuation—bolstered by Starlink revenue growth and Starship mission successes. SpaceX's alignment with Nasdaq aligns with Tesla's precedent under Elon Musk. Realistic challenges include competitive bids from NYSE or the new Texas Stock Exchange, given SpaceX's Texas headquarters, or delays in confidential S-1 filing reviews, with final announcements expected imminently.
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$100,073Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a NASDAQ listing for SpaceX at 95.5% implied probability, driven by recent Reuters reporting that the company is leaning toward the tech-focused exchange to secure early inclusion in the Nasdaq-100 index. This positioning stems from Nasdaq's May 2026 rule changes enabling rapid entry for megacap IPOs like SpaceX's anticipated June debut, potentially at a $1.75–2 trillion valuation—bolstered by Starlink revenue growth and Starship mission successes. SpaceX's alignment with Nasdaq aligns with Tesla's precedent under Elon Musk. Realistic challenges include competitive bids from NYSE or the new Texas Stock Exchange, given SpaceX's Texas headquarters, or delays in confidential S-1 filing reviews, with final announcements expected imminently.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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