Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 51.5% implied probability for Elon Musk's net worth exceeding $690 billion by May 31, driven primarily by recent surges in SpaceX's private valuation—reaching $800 billion in a December 2025 tender offer and eyeing $1.75 trillion ahead of a potential 2026 IPO—and steady Tesla (TSLA) share price around $443 as of May 14, which accounts for roughly 70% of Musk's wealth. xAI's $20 billion Series E funding in January further bolstered estimates, with Bloomberg pegging Musk at $696 billion and Forbes at $826 billion amid divergent valuation methodologies. Lower brackets like 680-690 billion (17.5%) reflect caution over Tesla's early-2026 dips and thin trading volume, while upcoming Robotaxi updates and SpaceX milestones could swing sentiment before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado690b+ 39%
680-690b 16%
670-680b 14%
660-670b 8%
$18,440 Vol.
$18,440 Vol.
<610b
1%
610-620b
3%
620-630b
5%
630-640b
4%
640-650b
4%
650-660b
5%
660-670b
8%
670-680b
14%
680-690b
18%
690b+
52%
690b+ 39%
680-690b 16%
670-680b 14%
660-670b 8%
$18,440 Vol.
$18,440 Vol.
<610b
1%
610-620b
3%
620-630b
5%
630-640b
4%
640-650b
4%
650-660b
5%
660-670b
8%
670-680b
14%
680-690b
18%
690b+
52%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for May 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for May 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 51.5% implied probability for Elon Musk's net worth exceeding $690 billion by May 31, driven primarily by recent surges in SpaceX's private valuation—reaching $800 billion in a December 2025 tender offer and eyeing $1.75 trillion ahead of a potential 2026 IPO—and steady Tesla (TSLA) share price around $443 as of May 14, which accounts for roughly 70% of Musk's wealth. xAI's $20 billion Series E funding in January further bolstered estimates, with Bloomberg pegging Musk at $696 billion and Forbes at $826 billion amid divergent valuation methodologies. Lower brackets like 680-690 billion (17.5%) reflect caution over Tesla's early-2026 dips and thin trading volume, while upcoming Robotaxi updates and SpaceX milestones could swing sentiment before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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