Trader consensus prices "No" at 98.6% for Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei arrest by June 30, 2026, driven by the complete absence of criminal charges, indictments, or DOJ investigations, as the ongoing dispute with the Defense Department remains strictly civil over unrestricted access to Claude AI models for military applications. A federal judge blocked government blacklisting efforts in March 2026, while Amodei's April meeting with White House chief of staff Susie Wiles fostered productive AI policy discussions, followed by his public apology for a leaked critical memo that further reduced tensions. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth's rhetorical criticism has not escalated to legal action. Realistic shifts could arise from unforeseen DOJ probes into company practices or unrelated personal allegations, though high evidentiary thresholds for arrest pose significant barriers.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$161,466 Vol.
$161,466 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sí
$161,466 Vol.
$161,466 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 98.6% for Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei arrest by June 30, 2026, driven by the complete absence of criminal charges, indictments, or DOJ investigations, as the ongoing dispute with the Defense Department remains strictly civil over unrestricted access to Claude AI models for military applications. A federal judge blocked government blacklisting efforts in March 2026, while Amodei's April meeting with White House chief of staff Susie Wiles fostered productive AI policy discussions, followed by his public apology for a leaked critical memo that further reduced tensions. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth's rhetorical criticism has not escalated to legal action. Realistic shifts could arise from unforeseen DOJ probes into company practices or unrelated personal allegations, though high evidentiary thresholds for arrest pose significant barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Volumen
$161,466Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 98.6% for Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei arrest by June 30, 2026, driven by the complete absence of criminal charges, indictments, or DOJ investigations, as the ongoing dispute with the Defense Department remains strictly civil over unrestricted access to Claude AI models for military applications. A federal judge blocked government blacklisting efforts in March 2026, while Amodei's April meeting with White House chief of staff Susie Wiles fostered productive AI policy discussions, followed by his public apology for a leaked critical memo that further reduced tensions. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth's rhetorical criticism has not escalated to legal action. Realistic shifts could arise from unforeseen DOJ probes into company practices or unrelated personal allegations, though high evidentiary thresholds for arrest pose significant barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$161,466Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 98.6% for Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei arrest by June 30, 2026, driven by the complete absence of criminal charges, indictments, or DOJ investigations, as the ongoing dispute with the Defense Department remains strictly civil over unrestricted access to Claude AI models for military applications. A federal judge blocked government blacklisting efforts in March 2026, while Amodei's April meeting with White House chief of staff Susie Wiles fostered productive AI policy discussions, followed by his public apology for a leaked critical memo that further reduced tensions. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth's rhetorical criticism has not escalated to legal action. Realistic shifts could arise from unforeseen DOJ probes into company practices or unrelated personal allegations, though high evidentiary thresholds for arrest pose significant barriers.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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