Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 11 cities at a 36.5% implied probability as the leading outcome for Waymo's operational footprint by June 30, driven by the company's May 13 announcement expanding service areas in Miami—now live—with Austin, Atlanta, Houston, and the San Francisco Bay Area following in coming weeks to exceed 1,400 square miles across 11 metros. This builds on April launches opening full public access in Nashville, Miami, and Orlando, plus February additions of Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, and Orlando, pushing from an established base of Phoenix, Los Angeles, Austin, Atlanta, and SF. Strong safety metrics, including 92% fewer injury crashes over 170 million autonomous miles, and preparations for FIFA World Cup demand in host cities like Miami bolster momentum, though regulatory approvals and scaling logistics cap 12+ odds at 15.5% amid historical expansion timelines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado11 30%
12+ 16%
7 8.5%
10 5.2%
$162,471 Vol.
$162,471 Vol.
30 jun 2026
≤5
1%
6
2%
7
9%
8
5%
9
5%
10
5%
11
37%
12+
16%
11 30%
12+ 16%
7 8.5%
10 5.2%
$162,471 Vol.
$162,471 Vol.
30 jun 2026
≤5
$41,853 Vol.
1%
6
$20,099 Vol.
2%
7
$13,760 Vol.
9%
8
$14,295 Vol.
5%
9
$17,397 Vol.
5%
10
$13,659 Vol.
5%
11
$19,395 Vol.
37%
12+
$22,013 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 11 cities at a 36.5% implied probability as the leading outcome for Waymo's operational footprint by June 30, driven by the company's May 13 announcement expanding service areas in Miami—now live—with Austin, Atlanta, Houston, and the San Francisco Bay Area following in coming weeks to exceed 1,400 square miles across 11 metros. This builds on April launches opening full public access in Nashville, Miami, and Orlando, plus February additions of Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, and Orlando, pushing from an established base of Phoenix, Los Angeles, Austin, Atlanta, and SF. Strong safety metrics, including 92% fewer injury crashes over 170 million autonomous miles, and preparations for FIFA World Cup demand in host cities like Miami bolster momentum, though regulatory approvals and scaling logistics cap 12+ odds at 15.5% amid historical expansion timelines.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 10, 2025, 6:55 PM ET
Volumen
$162,471Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 10, 2025, 6:55 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 11 cities at a 36.5% implied probability as the leading outcome for Waymo's operational footprint by June 30, driven by the company's May 13 announcement expanding service areas in Miami—now live—with Austin, Atlanta, Houston, and the San Francisco Bay Area following in coming weeks to exceed 1,400 square miles across 11 metros. This builds on April launches opening full public access in Nashville, Miami, and Orlando, plus February additions of Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, and Orlando, pushing from an established base of Phoenix, Los Angeles, Austin, Atlanta, and SF. Strong safety metrics, including 92% fewer injury crashes over 170 million autonomous miles, and preparations for FIFA World Cup demand in host cities like Miami bolster momentum, though regulatory approvals and scaling logistics cap 12+ odds at 15.5% amid historical expansion timelines.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$162,471Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 10, 2025, 6:55 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 11 cities at a 36.5% implied probability as the leading outcome for Waymo's operational footprint by June 30, driven by the company's May 13 announcement expanding service areas in Miami—now live—with Austin, Atlanta, Houston, and the San Francisco Bay Area following in coming weeks to exceed 1,400 square miles across 11 metros. This builds on April launches opening full public access in Nashville, Miami, and Orlando, plus February additions of Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, and Orlando, pushing from an established base of Phoenix, Los Angeles, Austin, Atlanta, and SF. Strong safety metrics, including 92% fewer injury crashes over 170 million autonomous miles, and preparations for FIFA World Cup demand in host cities like Miami bolster momentum, though regulatory approvals and scaling logistics cap 12+ odds at 15.5% amid historical expansion timelines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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