Argentina's April monthly inflation print of 2.6 percent, marking the first deceleration in eleven months and coming in just above the 2.5 percent consensus, has anchored trader expectations for continued disinflation into May. This outcome, alongside the year-over-year rate easing to 32.4 percent, underpins the market-implied odds favoring the 2.2–2.4 percent band as the central scenario, reflecting sustained policy tightening and moderating core pressures. The secondary ≤2.1 percent bucket captures scope for further moderation, while thinner pricing on higher ranges signals limited conviction in any reacceleration. With the May figure slated for release around June 11, traders are watching incoming wage data and regulated price adjustments for potential late shifts in the trajectory.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado2.2–2.4% 66%
≤2,1% 29%
2.5–2.7% 23%
2.8–3.0% 12%
$46,627 Vol.
$46,627 Vol.
11 jun 2026
≤2,1%
25%
2.2–2.4%
56%
2.5–2.7%
23%
2.8–3.0%
12%
3.1–3.3%
6%
3.4–3.6%
5%
3.7–3.9%
6%
4.0%+
3%
2.2–2.4% 66%
≤2,1% 29%
2.5–2.7% 23%
2.8–3.0% 12%
$46,627 Vol.
$46,627 Vol.
11 jun 2026
≤2,1%
$415 Vol.
25%
2.2–2.4%
$46,077 Vol.
56%
2.5–2.7%
$0 Vol.
23%
2.8–3.0%
$50 Vol.
12%
3.1–3.3%
$0 Vol.
6%
3.4–3.6%
$1 Vol.
5%
3.7–3.9%
$20 Vol.
6%
4.0%+
$63 Vol.
3%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's April monthly inflation print of 2.6 percent, marking the first deceleration in eleven months and coming in just above the 2.5 percent consensus, has anchored trader expectations for continued disinflation into May. This outcome, alongside the year-over-year rate easing to 32.4 percent, underpins the market-implied odds favoring the 2.2–2.4 percent band as the central scenario, reflecting sustained policy tightening and moderating core pressures. The secondary ≤2.1 percent bucket captures scope for further moderation, while thinner pricing on higher ranges signals limited conviction in any reacceleration. With the May figure slated for release around June 11, traders are watching incoming wage data and regulated price adjustments for potential late shifts in the trajectory.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Volumen
$46,627Fecha de finalización
11 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's April monthly inflation print of 2.6 percent, marking the first deceleration in eleven months and coming in just above the 2.5 percent consensus, has anchored trader expectations for continued disinflation into May. This outcome, alongside the year-over-year rate easing to 32.4 percent, underpins the market-implied odds favoring the 2.2–2.4 percent band as the central scenario, reflecting sustained policy tightening and moderating core pressures. The secondary ≤2.1 percent bucket captures scope for further moderation, while thinner pricing on higher ranges signals limited conviction in any reacceleration. With the May figure slated for release around June 11, traders are watching incoming wage data and regulated price adjustments for potential late shifts in the trajectory.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$46,627Fecha de finalización
11 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Argentina's April monthly inflation print of 2.6 percent, marking the first deceleration in eleven months and coming in just above the 2.5 percent consensus, has anchored trader expectations for continued disinflation into May. This outcome, alongside the year-over-year rate easing to 32.4 percent, underpins the market-implied odds favoring the 2.2–2.4 percent band as the central scenario, reflecting sustained policy tightening and moderating core pressures. The secondary ≤2.1 percent bucket captures scope for further moderation, while thinner pricing on higher ranges signals limited conviction in any reacceleration. With the May figure slated for release around June 11, traders are watching incoming wage data and regulated price adjustments for potential late shifts in the trajectory.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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