The Bank of England's June 18 meeting carries an 85% market-implied probability of no change to the 3.75% Bank Rate, driven by the Monetary Policy Committee's 8-1 hold decision in late April and persistent inflation at 3.3% year-over-year. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have elevated energy prices, pushing up fuel and utility costs while wage growth has slowed to a five-year low, tempering broader price pressures. Traders assign 14.5% odds to a 25 basis point hike, reflecting Governor Bailey's caution on inflation risks exceeding 3.5% by year-end and potential upside surprises in upcoming April CPI and May labor data. Negligible probabilities for cuts underscore the BoE's data-dependent stance, with monetary policy expected to remain responsive to energy volatility rather than pre-committed to easing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Decisión del Banco de Inglaterra en junio?
¿Decisión del Banco de Inglaterra en junio?
Sin cambio 85%
Aumento de 25 puntos básicos 15%
Aumento de más de 50 puntos básicos <1%
Disminución de más de 50 puntos básicos <1%
$146,433 Vol.
$146,433 Vol.
18 jun 2026
Disminución de más de 50 puntos básicos
<1%
Disminución de 25 puntos básicos
<1%
Sin cambio
85%
Aumento de 25 puntos básicos
15%
Aumento de más de 50 puntos básicos
1%
Sin cambio 85%
Aumento de 25 puntos básicos 15%
Aumento de más de 50 puntos básicos <1%
Disminución de más de 50 puntos básicos <1%
$146,433 Vol.
$146,433 Vol.
18 jun 2026
Disminución de más de 50 puntos básicos
$24,993 Vol.
<1%
Disminución de 25 puntos básicos
$25,323 Vol.
<1%
Sin cambio
$30,928 Vol.
85%
Aumento de 25 puntos básicos
$41,099 Vol.
15%
Aumento de más de 50 puntos básicos
$24,091 Vol.
1%
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of England's June 18 meeting carries an 85% market-implied probability of no change to the 3.75% Bank Rate, driven by the Monetary Policy Committee's 8-1 hold decision in late April and persistent inflation at 3.3% year-over-year. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have elevated energy prices, pushing up fuel and utility costs while wage growth has slowed to a five-year low, tempering broader price pressures. Traders assign 14.5% odds to a 25 basis point hike, reflecting Governor Bailey's caution on inflation risks exceeding 3.5% by year-end and potential upside surprises in upcoming April CPI and May labor data. Negligible probabilities for cuts underscore the BoE's data-dependent stance, with monetary policy expected to remain responsive to energy volatility rather than pre-committed to easing.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Volumen
$146,433Fecha de finalización
18 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of England's June 18 meeting carries an 85% market-implied probability of no change to the 3.75% Bank Rate, driven by the Monetary Policy Committee's 8-1 hold decision in late April and persistent inflation at 3.3% year-over-year. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have elevated energy prices, pushing up fuel and utility costs while wage growth has slowed to a five-year low, tempering broader price pressures. Traders assign 14.5% odds to a 25 basis point hike, reflecting Governor Bailey's caution on inflation risks exceeding 3.5% by year-end and potential upside surprises in upcoming April CPI and May labor data. Negligible probabilities for cuts underscore the BoE's data-dependent stance, with monetary policy expected to remain responsive to energy volatility rather than pre-committed to easing.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$146,433Fecha de finalización
18 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of England's June 18 meeting carries an 85% market-implied probability of no change to the 3.75% Bank Rate, driven by the Monetary Policy Committee's 8-1 hold decision in late April and persistent inflation at 3.3% year-over-year. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have elevated energy prices, pushing up fuel and utility costs while wage growth has slowed to a five-year low, tempering broader price pressures. Traders assign 14.5% odds to a 25 basis point hike, reflecting Governor Bailey's caution on inflation risks exceeding 3.5% by year-end and potential upside surprises in upcoming April CPI and May labor data. Negligible probabilities for cuts underscore the BoE's data-dependent stance, with monetary policy expected to remain responsive to energy volatility rather than pre-committed to easing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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