Persistent inflation above the 3% target, with April 2026 readings at 5.68% year-over-year and central bank staff projecting levels above 6% by year-end, underpins the near-even split in trader-implied odds between a 25-to-50 basis point hike and another hold at the current 11.25% policy rate. The unanimous April pause, which defied earlier tightening expectations, introduced caution as policymakers balance robust domestic demand and fiscal stimulus against moderating growth. Recent data revisions and the forthcoming May inflation release will serve as key swing factors ahead of the June 30 decision, leaving market consensus balanced between additional monetary tightening and a continued pause.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCentral Bank of Colombia Decision in June?
No change 55%
Increase 50%
Decrease 1.5%
Decrease
2%
No change
60%
Increase
63%
No change 55%
Increase 50%
Decrease 1.5%
Decrease
2%
No change
60%
Increase
63%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Apr 2, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent inflation above the 3% target, with April 2026 readings at 5.68% year-over-year and central bank staff projecting levels above 6% by year-end, underpins the near-even split in trader-implied odds between a 25-to-50 basis point hike and another hold at the current 11.25% policy rate. The unanimous April pause, which defied earlier tightening expectations, introduced caution as policymakers balance robust domestic demand and fiscal stimulus against moderating growth. Recent data revisions and the forthcoming May inflation release will serve as key swing factors ahead of the June 30 decision, leaving market consensus balanced between additional monetary tightening and a continued pause.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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