OpenAI’s recent infrastructure scaling and rapid incident response have anchored trader sentiment around limited ChatGPT downtime through mid-August 2026. Status page records show only brief elevated-error events on August 11 and 13, confined mostly to free-tier conversations and resolved within hours, supporting 99.67% uptime across 15 ChatGPT components. These contained disruptions contrast with the multi-hour global outages seen in July, reflecting improved capacity management for the large language model serving millions of daily users and API calls. With half the month remaining and no signs of widespread capacity strain or new failure modes, markets price low odds of additional qualifying outage days absent a major regression in deployment or load balancing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado22 de agosto
49%
31 de agosto
82%
$326 Vol.
22 de agosto
49%
31 de agosto
82%
ChatGPT will be considered to have experienced a qualifying incident on the specified day if the OpenAI Status Page for ChatGPT (status.openai.com) displays that day’s status box as a shade of red indicating Partial/Full Outage once it is finalized. (green indicates "No incidents", yellow indicates "Degraded performance"). A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box is added on the Status Page.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
This market will remain open until the specified day’s status box is finalized and all incidents that began during the specified date have been resolved. Revisions that change an incident’s impact classification to or from 'Partial/Full Outage' will be considered if the revision is published before the specified day’s status box is finalized or before all incidents that began during the specified date have been resolved.
This market will resolve once the specified day’s status box is finalized, provided no incident that began during the specified date is ongoing. In case of an ongoing incident the market will remain open until the incident is marked as “Resolved” and all relevant data has been released. If the incident in question is not resolved or all relevant data has not been released by the end of the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Aug 12, 2026, 7:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...ChatGPT will be considered to have experienced a qualifying incident on the specified day if the OpenAI Status Page for ChatGPT (status.openai.com) displays that day’s status box as a shade of red indicating Partial/Full Outage once it is finalized. (green indicates "No incidents", yellow indicates "Degraded performance"). A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box is added on the Status Page.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
This market will remain open until the specified day’s status box is finalized and all incidents that began during the specified date have been resolved. Revisions that change an incident’s impact classification to or from 'Partial/Full Outage' will be considered if the revision is published before the specified day’s status box is finalized or before all incidents that began during the specified date have been resolved.
This market will resolve once the specified day’s status box is finalized, provided no incident that began during the specified date is ongoing. In case of an ongoing incident the market will remain open until the incident is marked as “Resolved” and all relevant data has been released. If the incident in question is not resolved or all relevant data has not been released by the end of the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s recent infrastructure scaling and rapid incident response have anchored trader sentiment around limited ChatGPT downtime through mid-August 2026. Status page records show only brief elevated-error events on August 11 and 13, confined mostly to free-tier conversations and resolved within hours, supporting 99.67% uptime across 15 ChatGPT components. These contained disruptions contrast with the multi-hour global outages seen in July, reflecting improved capacity management for the large language model serving millions of daily users and API calls. With half the month remaining and no signs of widespread capacity strain or new failure modes, markets price low odds of additional qualifying outage days absent a major regression in deployment or load balancing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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