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icon for Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner

Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner

icon for Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner

Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner

Bulgaria 84.9%

Romania 5.1%

Ukraine 3.8%

Czechia <1%

Polymarket

$228,556 Vol.

Bulgaria 84.9%

Romania 5.1%

Ukraine 3.8%

Czechia <1%

Polymarket

$228,556 Vol.

Bulgaria

$19,486 Vol.

72%

Romania

$19,493 Vol.

5%

Ukraine

$16,310 Vol.

4%

Czechia

$9,803 Vol.

1%

Albania

$9,119 Vol.

<1%

Norway

$9,016 Vol.

<1%

Denmark

$47,939 Vol.

<1%

Cyprus

$6,922 Vol.

<1%

Malta

$8,115 Vol.

<1%

Australia

$48,053 Vol.

36%

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Bulgaria has surged to a 57.1% implied probability in the Eurovision 2026 second semi-final winner market, propelled by its high-energy staging and Dara’s commanding vocal performance that resonated strongly with both juries and televoters during the May 14 show in Vienna. Australia’s Delta Goodrem entry Eclipse sits at 39.0%, capitalizing on polished production and broad international appeal that secured a close second-place finish in live voting. Ukraine’s lower 10.2% positioning reflects solid but less dominant televote support for Leléka’s Ridnym, while Romania, Czechia and the rest trail far behind amid stiffer competition for the top spot. With the semi-final concluded, trader focus now shifts to how these results shape final positioning and any late jury adjustments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$228,556
Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026
Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Bulgaria has surged to a 57.1% implied probability in the Eurovision 2026 second semi-final winner market, propelled by its high-energy staging and Dara’s commanding vocal performance that resonated strongly with both juries and televoters during the May 14 show in Vienna. Australia’s Delta Goodrem entry Eclipse sits at 39.0%, capitalizing on polished production and broad international appeal that secured a close second-place finish in live voting. Ukraine’s lower 10.2% positioning reflects solid but less dominant televote support for Leléka’s Ridnym, while Romania, Czechia and the rest trail far behind amid stiffer competition for the top spot. With the semi-final concluded, trader focus now shifts to how these results shape final positioning and any late jury adjustments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$228,556
Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026
Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 15 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Bulgaria" con 72%, seguido de "Australia" con 36%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 72¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 72% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner" ha generado $228.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 7, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner", explora los 15 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner" es "Bulgaria" con 72%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 72% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Australia" con 36%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.