Skip to main content
icon for Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

icon for Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Finlandia 43.9%

Grecia 14.0%

Dinamarca 12.7%

Australia 5.7%

Polymarket

$157,680,236 Vol.

Finlandia 43.9%

Grecia 14.0%

Dinamarca 12.7%

Australia 5.7%

Polymarket

$157,680,236 Vol.

icon for Finlandia

Finlandia

$4,641,428 Vol.

44%

icon for Grecia

Grecia

$3,898,949 Vol.

14%

icon for Dinamarca

Dinamarca

$2,427,882 Vol.

13%

icon for Australia

Australia

$2,585,555 Vol.

6%

icon for Israel

Israel

$2,977,612 Vol.

6%

icon for Francia

Francia

$3,191,199 Vol.

5%

icon for Rumanía

Rumanía

$2,706,140 Vol.

4%

icon for Italia

Italia

$3,734,137 Vol.

2%

icon for Moldavia

Moldavia

$4,153,237 Vol.

1%

icon for Croacia

Croacia

$4,496,344 Vol.

1%

icon for Ucrania

Ucrania

$2,803,744 Vol.

1%

icon for Malta

Malta

$2,974,589 Vol.

1%

icon for Suecia

Suecia

$2,141,191 Vol.

1%

icon for Chequia

Chequia

$2,294,166 Vol.

1%

icon for Bulgaria

Bulgaria

$2,998,692 Vol.

1%

icon for Chipre

Chipre

$2,744,995 Vol.

1%

icon for Albania

Albania

$6,753,311 Vol.

<1%

icon for Noruega

Noruega

$4,470,227 Vol.

<1%

icon for Serbia

Serbia

$5,554,612 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luxemburgo

Luxemburgo

$3,754,364 Vol.

<1%

icon for Polonia

Polonia

$6,432,472 Vol.

<1%

icon for Austria

Austria

$7,249,592 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alemania

Alemania

$3,369,353 Vol.

<1%

icon for Letonia

Letonia

$5,798,965 Vol.

<1%

icon for Armenia

Armenia

$6,513,086 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lituania

Lituania

$5,259,309 Vol.

<1%

icon for Suiza

Suiza

$5,741,167 Vol.

<1%

icon for Reino Unido

Reino Unido

$3,584,041 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bélgica

Bélgica

$5,052,402 Vol.

<1%

icon for Azerbaiyán

Azerbaiyán

$6,699,523 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 43.9% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026, propelled by standout first semi-final qualification on May 12 and glowing rehearsal feedback for their violin-driven "Liekinheitin," granted special live performance permission by organizers. The duo's high-energy pop-folk blend has dominated bookie odds and fan polls since national selection, echoing Nordic frontrunner momentum seen in recent contests. Greece's Akylas follows at 14% with the edgy "Ferto," buoyed by similar semi-final advancement and strong streaming buzz, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 12.7% on melodic appeal in "Før vi går hjem" ahead of second semi-final risks. Traders eye jury-televote splits and Vienna final on May 16 as pivotal swing factors in this liquid market.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$157,680,236
Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 43.9% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026, propelled by standout first semi-final qualification on May 12 and glowing rehearsal feedback for their violin-driven "Liekinheitin," granted special live performance permission by organizers. The duo's high-energy pop-folk blend has dominated bookie odds and fan polls since national selection, echoing Nordic frontrunner momentum seen in recent contests. Greece's Akylas follows at 14% with the edgy "Ferto," buoyed by similar semi-final advancement and strong streaming buzz, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 12.7% on melodic appeal in "Før vi går hjem" ahead of second semi-final risks. Traders eye jury-televote splits and Vienna final on May 16 as pivotal swing factors in this liquid market.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$157,680,236
Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 35 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Finlandia" con 44%, seguido de "Grecia" con 14%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 44¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 44% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" ha generado $157.7 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 6, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026", explora los 35 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es "Finlandia" con 44%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 44% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Grecia" con 14%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.