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icon for Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

icon for Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Finlandia 49.6%

Australia 21.9%

Grecia 6.7%

Rumanía 5.7%

Polymarket

$169,956,746 Vol.

Finlandia 49.6%

Australia 21.9%

Grecia 6.7%

Rumanía 5.7%

Polymarket

$169,956,746 Vol.

icon for Finlandia

Finlandia

$5,018,439 Vol.

50%

icon for Australia

Australia

$3,288,447 Vol.

22%

icon for Grecia

Grecia

$4,166,164 Vol.

7%

icon for Rumanía

Rumanía

$3,184,480 Vol.

6%

icon for Israel

Israel

$3,280,067 Vol.

6%

icon for Bulgaria

Bulgaria

$3,904,435 Vol.

4%

icon for Dinamarca

Dinamarca

$2,773,235 Vol.

3%

icon for Italia

Italia

$4,107,535 Vol.

2%

icon for Francia

Francia

$3,557,828 Vol.

1%

icon for Croacia

Croacia

$5,041,003 Vol.

1%

icon for Chequia

Chequia

$2,476,941 Vol.

1%

icon for Moldavia

Moldavia

$4,398,062 Vol.

1%

icon for Suecia

Suecia

$2,361,493 Vol.

1%

icon for Ucrania

Ucrania

$3,122,766 Vol.

1%

icon for Malta

Malta

$3,476,230 Vol.

<1%

icon for Albania

Albania

$7,096,693 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chipre

Chipre

$3,547,881 Vol.

<1%

icon for Serbia

Serbia

$6,075,209 Vol.

<1%

icon for Noruega

Noruega

$5,194,068 Vol.

<1%

icon for Polonia

Polonia

$7,326,252 Vol.

<1%

icon for Austria

Austria

$7,535,233 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bélgica

Bélgica

$5,111,924 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alemania

Alemania

$4,066,015 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lituania

Lituania

$5,704,707 Vol.

<1%

icon for Reino Unido

Reino Unido

$4,048,977 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen commands a dominant 49.5% implied probability on Polymarket as the Eurovision 2026 frontrunner, propelled by standout first rehearsals showcasing live violin fury, industrial staging with fire effects, and unyielding sisu that secured EBU approval for the instrument—echoing Lordi's 2006 triumph. Australia's Delta Goodrem surged to 22.1% after her crystalline "Eclipse" dazzled in the second semi-final, qualifying effortlessly amid massive televote hype. Greece's Akylas Ferto holds 6.6% on artsy drama, while Romania's Alexandra Căpitănescu ("Choke Me") and Israel's entry tie at 5.5% post-qualifiers, buoyed by jury appeal despite geopolitical noise. With the Vienna grand final's running order set and all 25 finalists locked, trader consensus hinges on televote-jury splits and Saturday's performances.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$169,956,746
Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen commands a dominant 49.5% implied probability on Polymarket as the Eurovision 2026 frontrunner, propelled by standout first rehearsals showcasing live violin fury, industrial staging with fire effects, and unyielding sisu that secured EBU approval for the instrument—echoing Lordi's 2006 triumph. Australia's Delta Goodrem surged to 22.1% after her crystalline "Eclipse" dazzled in the second semi-final, qualifying effortlessly amid massive televote hype. Greece's Akylas Ferto holds 6.6% on artsy drama, while Romania's Alexandra Căpitănescu ("Choke Me") and Israel's entry tie at 5.5% post-qualifiers, buoyed by jury appeal despite geopolitical noise. With the Vienna grand final's running order set and all 25 finalists locked, trader consensus hinges on televote-jury splits and Saturday's performances.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$169,956,746
Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 35 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Finlandia" con 50%, seguido de "Australia" con 22%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 50¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 50% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" ha generado $170 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 6, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026", explora los 35 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es "Finlandia" con 50%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 50% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Australia" con 22%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.