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icon for Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

icon for Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Finlandia 48.9%

Australia 28.1%

Israel 6.7%

Bulgaria 6.6%

Polymarket

$184,087,655 Vol.

Finlandia 48.9%

Australia 28.1%

Israel 6.7%

Bulgaria 6.6%

Polymarket

$184,087,655 Vol.

icon for Finlandia

Finlandia

$5,729,109 Vol.

49%

icon for Australia

Australia

$4,066,507 Vol.

28%

icon for Israel

Israel

$4,150,981 Vol.

7%

icon for Bulgaria

Bulgaria

$5,175,985 Vol.

7%

icon for Grecia

Grecia

$4,738,451 Vol.

4%

icon for Rumanía

Rumanía

$3,818,095 Vol.

3%

icon for Dinamarca

Dinamarca

$3,181,163 Vol.

2%

icon for Francia

Francia

$4,017,092 Vol.

1%

icon for Italia

Italia

$4,505,553 Vol.

1%

icon for Suecia

Suecia

$3,023,860 Vol.

1%

icon for Moldavia

Moldavia

$5,001,947 Vol.

1%

icon for Ucrania

Ucrania

$3,684,573 Vol.

1%

icon for Malta

Malta

$4,280,628 Vol.

1%

icon for Chipre

Chipre

$4,235,718 Vol.

<1%

icon for Croacia

Croacia

$5,525,930 Vol.

<1%

icon for Noruega

Noruega

$5,821,605 Vol.

<1%

icon for Serbia

Serbia

$6,655,790 Vol.

<1%

icon for Albania

Albania

$7,624,793 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chequia

Chequia

$2,901,557 Vol.

<1%

icon for Polonia

Polonia

$8,055,692 Vol.

<1%

icon for Austria

Austria

$7,686,030 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bélgica

Bélgica

$5,273,465 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alemania

Alemania

$4,474,267 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lituania

Lituania

$6,002,499 Vol.

<1%

icon for Reino Unido

Reino Unido

$4,726,089 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland leads the Eurovision 2026 field thanks to its high-energy semi-final performance and standout rehearsals for the violin-driven "Liekinheitin," which has translated into dominant bookmaker and market consensus. Australia follows closely with Delta Goodrem's polished "Eclipse," leveraging the pop star's established fanbase and strong staging to maintain second-place positioning. Israel, Bulgaria, and Greece round out the top tier amid a politically charged atmosphere, as boycotts by several nations over Israel's participation have drawn attention without derailing the frontrunners' momentum. With the grand final in Vienna set for tonight, traders are watching jury and televote splits, where Finland's theatrical edge and Australia's crossover appeal create the clearest path to victory.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$184,087,655
Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland leads the Eurovision 2026 field thanks to its high-energy semi-final performance and standout rehearsals for the violin-driven "Liekinheitin," which has translated into dominant bookmaker and market consensus. Australia follows closely with Delta Goodrem's polished "Eclipse," leveraging the pop star's established fanbase and strong staging to maintain second-place positioning. Israel, Bulgaria, and Greece round out the top tier amid a politically charged atmosphere, as boycotts by several nations over Israel's participation have drawn attention without derailing the frontrunners' momentum. With the grand final in Vienna set for tonight, traders are watching jury and televote splits, where Finland's theatrical edge and Australia's crossover appeal create the clearest path to victory.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$184,087,655
Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 35 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Finlandia" con 49%, seguido de "Australia" con 28%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 49¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 49% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" ha generado $184.1 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 6, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026", explora los 35 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es "Finlandia" con 49%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 49% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Australia" con 28%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.