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icon for Ganador de las primarias demócratas de FL-23

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de FL-23

icon for Ganador de las primarias demócratas de FL-23

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de FL-23

Lois Frankel 96.1%

Victoria Doyle 2.4%

Jared Moskowitz <1%

Oliver Adams Larkin <1%

Polymarket

$54,356 Vol.

Lois Frankel 96.1%

Victoria Doyle 2.4%

Jared Moskowitz <1%

Oliver Adams Larkin <1%

Polymarket

$54,356 Vol.

icon for Lois Frankel

Lois Frankel

$9,389 Vol.

96%

icon for Victoria Doyle

Victoria Doyle

$4,012 Vol.

2%

icon for Jared Moskowitz

Jared Moskowitz

$16,931 Vol.

<1%

icon for Oliver Adams Larkin

Oliver Adams Larkin

$24,024 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Lois Frankel’s commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in Florida’s 23rd Congressional District stems from her multi-term tenure since 2012, extensive name recognition across Palm Beach County, and the district’s strong Democratic lean following recent redistricting. With the August 18, 2026 primary only days away and early voting nearly concluded, traders reflect the typical advantages of incumbency, including superior fundraising and party infrastructure support that have limited challengers like Victoria Doyle to single-digit implied probabilities. Doyle has positioned herself as a progressive alternative focused on legislative output and local activism, while minor candidates such as Jared Moskowitz and Oliver Adams Larkin register negligible support. Late developments that could narrow the gap remain limited to unforeseen turnout shifts or last-minute endorsements, though historical patterns in safe-seat primaries suggest the frontrunner’s lead is likely to hold.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$54,356
Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Lois Frankel’s commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in Florida’s 23rd Congressional District stems from her multi-term tenure since 2012, extensive name recognition across Palm Beach County, and the district’s strong Democratic lean following recent redistricting. With the August 18, 2026 primary only days away and early voting nearly concluded, traders reflect the typical advantages of incumbency, including superior fundraising and party infrastructure support that have limited challengers like Victoria Doyle to single-digit implied probabilities. Doyle has positioned herself as a progressive alternative focused on legislative output and local activism, while minor candidates such as Jared Moskowitz and Oliver Adams Larkin register negligible support. Late developments that could narrow the gap remain limited to unforeseen turnout shifts or last-minute endorsements, though historical patterns in safe-seat primaries suggest the frontrunner’s lead is likely to hold.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$54,356
Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas de FL-23" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Lois Frankel" con 96%, seguido de "Victoria Doyle" con 2%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 96¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 96% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de FL-23" ha generado $54.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 19, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de FL-23", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de FL-23" es "Lois Frankel" con 96%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 96% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Victoria Doyle" con 2%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de FL-23" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.