Recent tracking data showing *Forgotten Island* heading toward a $15 million domestic opening has anchored trader sentiment around the 22-25 million range as the consensus favorite at 37.5% implied probability. As an original DreamWorks Animation title drawing on Filipino mythology with no preexisting IP or book franchise, the film faces the typical challenges of building awareness in a late-September slot, where comparable releases like *Abominable* ($20.6M) and *The Bad Guys* ($23.9M) set benchmarks. A scanty marketing push and competition from other fall titles have tempered earlier $20-30M forecasts, pushing lower brackets like sub-$13M and 13-16M into stronger contention. The September 25 release leaves little time for last-minute buzz or presale shifts to alter the current market-implied odds before the three-day weekend locks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTaquilla del fin de semana de apertura de "Forgotten Island"
22-25 millones 38%
<13 millones 19%
13-16 millones 17%
16-19 millones 14%
<13 millones
19%
13-16 millones
17%
16-19 millones
14%
19-22 millones
14%
22-25 millones
38%
25 millones o más
15%
22-25 millones 38%
<13 millones 19%
13-16 millones 17%
16-19 millones 14%
<13 millones
19%
13-16 millones
17%
16-19 millones
14%
19-22 millones
14%
22-25 millones
38%
25 millones o más
15%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Sep 15, 2026, 10:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent tracking data showing *Forgotten Island* heading toward a $15 million domestic opening has anchored trader sentiment around the 22-25 million range as the consensus favorite at 37.5% implied probability. As an original DreamWorks Animation title drawing on Filipino mythology with no preexisting IP or book franchise, the film faces the typical challenges of building awareness in a late-September slot, where comparable releases like *Abominable* ($20.6M) and *The Bad Guys* ($23.9M) set benchmarks. A scanty marketing push and competition from other fall titles have tempered earlier $20-30M forecasts, pushing lower brackets like sub-$13M and 13-16M into stronger contention. The September 25 release leaves little time for last-minute buzz or presale shifts to alter the current market-implied odds before the three-day weekend locks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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