Kansas leads as the GOP's most vulnerable Great Plains Senate contest due to Democratic nominee Adam Hamilton's strong primary win and fundraising, prompting rating shifts from Safe to Likely Republican amid a broader national environment favoring Democrats. Iowa's open seat after Joni Ernst's retirement pits Republican Ashley Hinson against Democrat Josh Turek in polling that frequently falls within single digits, driven by economic pressures on agricultural voters. Nebraska features incumbent Pete Ricketts facing independent Dan Osborn, whose prior near-miss performance sustains competitiveness despite the absence of a Democratic ballot line. These dynamics shape trader consensus on relative GOP exposure across the three races ahead of November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNebraska 31%
Iowa 31%
Kansas 19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Nebraska
31%
Iowa
31%
Kansas
32%
Nebraska 31%
Iowa 31%
Kansas 19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Nebraska
$0 Vol.
31%
Iowa
$0 Vol.
31%
Kansas
$26 Vol.
32%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Republican Senate candidate earns the lowest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Republican, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Republicans, the relevant vote share will be that of the Republican with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kansas leads as the GOP's most vulnerable Great Plains Senate contest due to Democratic nominee Adam Hamilton's strong primary win and fundraising, prompting rating shifts from Safe to Likely Republican amid a broader national environment favoring Democrats. Iowa's open seat after Joni Ernst's retirement pits Republican Ashley Hinson against Democrat Josh Turek in polling that frequently falls within single digits, driven by economic pressures on agricultural voters. Nebraska features incumbent Pete Ricketts facing independent Dan Osborn, whose prior near-miss performance sustains competitiveness despite the absence of a Democratic ballot line. These dynamics shape trader consensus on relative GOP exposure across the three races ahead of November.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Republican Senate candidate earns the lowest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Republican, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Republicans, the relevant vote share will be that of the Republican with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Republican Senate candidate earns the lowest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Republican, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Republicans, the relevant vote share will be that of the Republican with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Sep 17, 2026, 1:23 PM ET
Volumen
$26Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 17, 2026, 1:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Republican Senate candidate earns the lowest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Republican, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Republicans, the relevant vote share will be that of the Republican with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kansas leads as the GOP's most vulnerable Great Plains Senate contest due to Democratic nominee Adam Hamilton's strong primary win and fundraising, prompting rating shifts from Safe to Likely Republican amid a broader national environment favoring Democrats. Iowa's open seat after Joni Ernst's retirement pits Republican Ashley Hinson against Democrat Josh Turek in polling that frequently falls within single digits, driven by economic pressures on agricultural voters. Nebraska features incumbent Pete Ricketts facing independent Dan Osborn, whose prior near-miss performance sustains competitiveness despite the absence of a Democratic ballot line. These dynamics shape trader consensus on relative GOP exposure across the three races ahead of November.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Republican Senate candidate earns the lowest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Republican, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Republicans, the relevant vote share will be that of the Republican with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Republican Senate candidate earns the lowest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Republican, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Republicans, the relevant vote share will be that of the Republican with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$26Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 17, 2026, 1:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kansas leads as the GOP's most vulnerable Great Plains Senate contest due to Democratic nominee Adam Hamilton's strong primary win and fundraising, prompting rating shifts from Safe to Likely Republican amid a broader national environment favoring Democrats. Iowa's open seat after Joni Ernst's retirement pits Republican Ashley Hinson against Democrat Josh Turek in polling that frequently falls within single digits, driven by economic pressures on agricultural voters. Nebraska features incumbent Pete Ricketts facing independent Dan Osborn, whose prior near-miss performance sustains competitiveness despite the absence of a Democratic ballot line. These dynamics shape trader consensus on relative GOP exposure across the three races ahead of November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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