Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and other models indicate a mild southwesterly flow over the Netherlands, supporting daily maximum temperatures near 21–23°C in Amsterdam on September 3 amid variable cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. This aligns with trader emphasis on 22°C and 23°C outcomes, reflecting narrow uncertainty in the 48–40% range as models converge on modest warming above the early-September climatological average of roughly 20–21°C. Key variables include exact timing of any rain bands and boundary-layer moisture, with fresh model runs expected to refine probabilities ahead of the date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 3 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 3 de septiembre?
22°C 48%
23°C 40%
21°C 16%
24°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 sep 2026
15°C o menos
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
16%
22°C
48%
23°C
40%
24°C
6%
25°C o más
2%
22°C 48%
23°C 40%
21°C 16%
24°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 sep 2026
15°C o menos
$16 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$16 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$16 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$16 Vol.
1%
19°C
$16 Vol.
1%
20°C
$21 Vol.
4%
21°C
$16 Vol.
16%
22°C
$90 Vol.
48%
23°C
$34 Vol.
40%
24°C
$12 Vol.
6%
25°C o más
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and other models indicate a mild southwesterly flow over the Netherlands, supporting daily maximum temperatures near 21–23°C in Amsterdam on September 3 amid variable cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. This aligns with trader emphasis on 22°C and 23°C outcomes, reflecting narrow uncertainty in the 48–40% range as models converge on modest warming above the early-September climatological average of roughly 20–21°C. Key variables include exact timing of any rain bands and boundary-layer moisture, with fresh model runs expected to refine probabilities ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$261Fecha de finalización
3 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and other models indicate a mild southwesterly flow over the Netherlands, supporting daily maximum temperatures near 21–23°C in Amsterdam on September 3 amid variable cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. This aligns with trader emphasis on 22°C and 23°C outcomes, reflecting narrow uncertainty in the 48–40% range as models converge on modest warming above the early-September climatological average of roughly 20–21°C. Key variables include exact timing of any rain bands and boundary-layer moisture, with fresh model runs expected to refine probabilities ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$261Fecha de finalización
3 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and other models indicate a mild southwesterly flow over the Netherlands, supporting daily maximum temperatures near 21–23°C in Amsterdam on September 3 amid variable cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. This aligns with trader emphasis on 22°C and 23°C outcomes, reflecting narrow uncertainty in the 48–40% range as models converge on modest warming above the early-September climatological average of roughly 20–21°C. Key variables include exact timing of any rain bands and boundary-layer moisture, with fresh model runs expected to refine probabilities ahead of the date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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