Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow's September 3 high will likely peak near 18–21°C under increasing cloud cover and scattered showers, driven by a passing frontal system advecting cooler maritime air from the west. This setup limits daytime radiative heating and caps the maximum through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from light rain, keeping outcomes tightly clustered around 18–20°C in market pricing. Earlier warm advection from the southwest supported higher readings on September 1–2, but the shift to cyclonic flow has introduced model spread on exact timing and intensity of the temperature drop. Updated runs from agencies like the Russian Hydrometeorological Service will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 3 de septiembre?
18°C 29%
19°C 29%
20°C 29%
21°C 17%
15°C or below
4%
16°C
7%
17°C
15%
18°C
29%
19°C
29%
20°C
29%
21°C
17%
22°C
6%
23°C
5%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
18°C 29%
19°C 29%
20°C 29%
21°C 17%
15°C or below
4%
16°C
7%
17°C
15%
18°C
29%
19°C
29%
20°C
29%
21°C
17%
22°C
6%
23°C
5%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow's September 3 high will likely peak near 18–21°C under increasing cloud cover and scattered showers, driven by a passing frontal system advecting cooler maritime air from the west. This setup limits daytime radiative heating and caps the maximum through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from light rain, keeping outcomes tightly clustered around 18–20°C in market pricing. Earlier warm advection from the southwest supported higher readings on September 1–2, but the shift to cyclonic flow has introduced model spread on exact timing and intensity of the temperature drop. Updated runs from agencies like the Russian Hydrometeorological Service will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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